Boston Red Sox vs Los Angeles Dodgers — Prediction & Odds

August 1, 2026 · Payton Tolle vs Yoshinobu Yamamoto · 78°F

7.3% edge · Los Angeles Dodgers

Boston Red Sox win

33.1%

Los Angeles Dodgers win

66.9%

Fair line (home)

-202

Proj. total

8.78

Score distribution

How often each team scores each run total across all simulations.

Boston Red Sox (mean 3.67)Los Angeles Dodgers (mean 5.11)

O/U line

7.5

Proj. total

8.78

Over

57.0%

Under

43.0%

Side	Model	Book	Fair
Boston Red Sox	33.1%	+142	+202
Los Angeles Dodgers	66.9%	-155	-202

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
Anthony Seigler	4.7	.609	.184	.024	.075	.528	1.161	.215	.309	.326	.635
Ceddanne Rafaela	4.6	.702	.208	.028	.130	.207	1.069	.247	.289	.398	.687
Wilyer Abreu	4.5	.587	.185	.022	.166	.442	1.165	.239	.318	.420	.738
Caleb Durbin	4.4	.654	.204	.014	.104	.295	.644	.245	.313	.382	.694
Masataka Yoshida	4.3	.728	.179	.016	.107	.301	.669	.263	.325	.399	.725
Nick Sogard	4.2	.605	.156	.011	.048	.424	1.080	.222	.307	.309	.616
Andruw Monasterio	4.0	.586	.163	.004	.079	.332	1.054	.226	.296	.337	.632
Jarren Duran	3.9	.485	.170	.046	.103	.307	1.138	.224	.293	.384	.676
Connor Wong	3.8	.560	.161	.007	.074	.276	1.052	.230	.294	.343	.638

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
Shohei Ohtani	4.6	.579	.167	.038	.344	.682	1.124	.289	.398	.615	1.013
Andy Pages	4.5	.692	.213	.013	.225	.308	.939	.275	.333	.496	.829
Tommy Edman	4.4	.728	.166	.021	.134	.277	.855	.258	.313	.408	.721
Freddie Freeman	4.3	.702	.210	.013	.186	.472	.773	.294	.379	.505	.884
Enrique Hernández	4.2	.618	.171	.013	.152	.310	.968	.247	.306	.416	.722
Teoscar Hernández	4.1	.616	.167	.010	.218	.310	1.100	.270	.330	.494	.824
Max Muncy	4.0	.464	.130	.013	.216	.579	.968	.246	.363	.487	.850
Miguel Rojas	3.9	.698	.175	.004	.098	.262	.526	.274	.328	.408	.736
Dalton Rushing	3.7	.491	.134	.005	.164	.372	1.042	.240	.325	.432	.757

Data notes: 20/20 lineup+starter talents from projections