Boston Red Sox vs Los Angeles Dodgers — Prediction & Odds

August 2, 2026 · Jake Bennett vs Emmet Sheehan · 76°F

3.5% edge · Los Angeles Dodgers

Boston Red Sox win

34.3%

Los Angeles Dodgers win

65.7%

Fair line (home)

-191

Proj. total

9.42

Score distribution

How often each team scores each run total across all simulations.

Boston Red Sox (mean 4.04)Los Angeles Dodgers (mean 5.39)

O/U line

8.5

Proj. total

9.42

Over

54.6%

Under

45.4%

Side	Model	Book	Fair
Boston Red Sox	34.3%	+159	+191
Los Angeles Dodgers	65.7%	-174	-191

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
Nick Sogard	4.7	.625	.161	.012	.063	.541	1.260	.208	.306	.298	.604
Ceddanne Rafaela	4.6	.646	.192	.027	.162	.233	1.120	.239	.287	.409	.696
Wilyer Abreu	4.5	.533	.171	.020	.195	.488	1.231	.231	.319	.431	.750
Willson Contreras	4.4	.498	.157	.014	.244	.444	1.283	.239	.337	.478	.815
Masataka Yoshida	4.3	.679	.175	.014	.129	.340	.700	.257	.327	.408	.735
Caleb Durbin	4.2	.580	.184	.013	.126	.321	.620	.240	.318	.396	.714
Andruw Monasterio	4.1	.556	.165	.005	.084	.359	1.077	.220	.297	.336	.633
Jarren Duran	4.0	.475	.161	.038	.122	.338	1.165	.222	.298	.391	.689
Carlos Narváez	3.9	.441	.133	.003	.118	.379	1.213	.203	.289	.347	.637

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
Shohei Ohtani	4.7	.673	.185	.046	.301	.640	1.001	.300	.400	.593	.994
Andy Pages	4.6	.782	.230	.012	.184	.288	.820	.285	.338	.475	.814
Tommy Edman	4.5	.786	.183	.022	.120	.260	.759	.267	.319	.408	.727
Freddie Freeman	4.4	.781	.230	.015	.158	.442	.681	.306	.384	.496	.881
Mookie Betts	4.3	.707	.207	.018	.157	.416	.455	.286	.360	.474	.834
Kyle Tucker	4.2	.639	.168	.021	.171	.519	.640	.277	.372	.477	.849
Teoscar Hernández	4.0	.658	.184	.008	.186	.284	.968	.278	.333	.480	.813
Max Muncy	3.9	.504	.133	.012	.192	.530	.859	.251	.360	.469	.830
Dalton Rushing	3.8	.547	.155	.006	.140	.354	.964	.248	.327	.420	.748

Data notes: away starter Jake Bennett: only 63 BF vs LHB this season · 20/20 lineup+starter talents from projections