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0.8% edge · Los Angeles DodgersKansas City Royals vs Los Angeles Dodgers — Prediction & Odds
August 10, 2026 · Noah Cameron vs Tarik Skubal · 74°F
Kansas City Royals win
27.9%
Los Angeles Dodgers win
72.1%
Fair line (home)
-259
Proj. total
9.15
Score distribution
How often each team scores each run total across all simulations.
Kansas City Royals (mean 3.55)Los Angeles Dodgers (mean 5.60)
Totals
O/U line
7
Proj. total
9.15
Over
59.2%
Under
30.1%
Model vs. market
| Side | Model | Book | Fair |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kansas City Royals | 27.9% | +241 | +259 |
| Los Angeles Dodgers | 72.1% | -270 | -259 |
Kansas City Royals — projected lines
| Batter | PA | 1B | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | K | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Loftin | 4.6 | .637 | .188 | .026 | .098 | .383 | .911 | .229 | .304 | .358 | .662 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. | 4.5 | .673 | .214 | .027 | .191 | .303 | .995 | .267 | .322 | .470 | .792 |
| Jac Caglianone | 4.4 | .558 | .154 | .019 | .180 | .259 | 1.415 | .223 | .278 | .403 | .680 |
| Salvador Perez | 4.3 | .582 | .156 | .003 | .176 | .160 | 1.113 | .226 | .266 | .396 | .662 |
| Carter Jensen | 4.2 | .492 | .160 | .012 | .135 | .329 | 1.370 | .209 | .275 | .363 | .638 |
| Starling Marte | 4.1 | .664 | .146 | .009 | .086 | .216 | 1.173 | .239 | .292 | .351 | .643 |
| Michael Massey | 4.0 | .590 | .167 | .007 | .115 | .165 | .901 | .234 | .271 | .374 | .645 |
| Isaac Collins | 3.8 | .505 | .147 | .008 | .071 | .360 | 1.082 | .215 | .302 | .326 | .628 |
| Kyle Isbel | 3.7 | .538 | .137 | .030 | .065 | .196 | .982 | .221 | .269 | .334 | .603 |
Los Angeles Dodgers — projected lines
| Batter | PA | 1B | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | K | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shohei Ohtani | 4.7 | .666 | .188 | .045 | .340 | .689 | .980 | .311 | .417 | .637 | 1.054 |
| Andy Pages | 4.6 | .761 | .226 | .013 | .219 | .315 | .808 | .288 | .346 | .503 | .849 |
| Freddie Freeman | 4.5 | .799 | .236 | .014 | .185 | .495 | .690 | .313 | .397 | .521 | .917 |
| Tommy Edman | 4.4 | .776 | .182 | .023 | .130 | .285 | .743 | .275 | .330 | .428 | .758 |
| Mookie Betts | 4.3 | .730 | .209 | .019 | .188 | .466 | .432 | .303 | .384 | .518 | .901 |
| Miguel Rojas | 4.2 | .809 | .207 | .005 | .096 | .276 | .462 | .289 | .343 | .421 | .763 |
| Teoscar Hernández | 4.1 | .667 | .175 | .007 | .198 | .309 | .955 | .282 | .342 | .492 | .834 |
| Max Muncy | 3.9 | .492 | .132 | .012 | .214 | .577 | .840 | .256 | .373 | .497 | .870 |
| Hunter Feduccia | 3.8 | .551 | .154 | .026 | .075 | .449 | .929 | .240 | .334 | .369 | .703 |
Data notes: 20/20 lineup+starter talents from projections