Kansas City Royals vs Los Angeles Dodgers — Prediction & Odds

August 11, 2026 · Michael Wacha vs Blake Snell · 77°F

1.5% edge · Kansas City Royals

Kansas City Royals win

30.7%

Los Angeles Dodgers win

69.3%

Fair line (home)

-226

Proj. total

9.8

Score distribution

How often each team scores each run total across all simulations.

Kansas City Royals (mean 3.98)Los Angeles Dodgers (mean 5.81)

Totals

O/U line

8.5

Proj. total

9.8

Over

57.5%

Under

42.5%

Model vs. market

Side	Model	Book	Fair
Kansas City Royals	30.7%	+235	+226
Los Angeles Dodgers	69.3%	-263	-226

Kansas City Royals — projected lines

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
Nick Loftin	4.7	.639	.176	.023	.106	.581	.893	.232	.336	.365	.701
Bobby Witt Jr.	4.6	.675	.205	.025	.206	.466	.964	.272	.351	.485	.836
Jac Caglianone	4.5	.564	.157	.021	.209	.416	1.353	.236	.313	.440	.753
Salvador Perez	4.4	.581	.157	.002	.202	.258	1.083	.232	.288	.421	.708
Carter Jensen	4.3	.513	.152	.011	.148	.484	1.335	.218	.309	.381	.691
Michael Massey	4.2	.608	.171	.007	.124	.258	.909	.234	.286	.377	.663
Tyler Tolbert	4.1	.572	.140	.011	.057	.320	1.206	.211	.281	.301	.581
John Rave	4.0	.476	.124	.025	.100	.450	1.196	.208	.302	.344	.646
Kyle Isbel	3.8	.547	.138	.027	.077	.298	.965	.226	.293	.347	.640

Los Angeles Dodgers — projected lines

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
Shohei Ohtani	4.7	.686	.190	.050	.358	.653	.956	.317	.416	.653	1.069
Freddie Freeman	4.6	.829	.243	.016	.203	.473	.700	.315	.392	.530	.923
Andy Pages	4.5	.745	.223	.013	.234	.289	.770	.291	.345	.518	.863
Kyle Tucker	4.4	.690	.186	.024	.215	.563	.638	.292	.387	.522	.908
Max Muncy	4.3	.563	.157	.015	.253	.590	.884	.269	.377	.527	.904
Mookie Betts	4.2	.716	.203	.019	.197	.423	.420	.303	.378	.525	.902
Tommy Edman	4.1	.726	.163	.031	.129	.261	.677	.277	.330	.438	.768
Alex Call	4.0	.634	.161	.012	.103	.455	.657	.263	.359	.407	.765
Ben Rortvedt	3.9	.563	.149	.005	.090	.341	.893	.233	.310	.356	.666

Data notes: home starter Blake Snell: only 6 BF vs LHB this season · home starter Blake Snell: only 12 BF vs RHB this season · 20/20 lineup+starter talents from projections