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3.1% edge · Kansas City RoyalsKansas City Royals vs Los Angeles Dodgers — Prediction & Odds
August 12, 2026 · Daniel Lynch IV vs Eric Lauer · 72°F
Kansas City Royals win
37.6%
Los Angeles Dodgers win
62.4%
Fair line (home)
-166
Proj. total
10.49
Score distribution
How often each team scores each run total across all simulations.
Kansas City Royals (mean 4.70)Los Angeles Dodgers (mean 5.79)
Totals
O/U line
9
Proj. total
10.49
Over
53.6%
Under
37.0%
Model vs. market
| Side | Model | Book | Fair |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kansas City Royals | 37.6% | +184 | +166 |
| Los Angeles Dodgers | 62.4% | -202 | -166 |
Kansas City Royals — projected lines
| Batter | PA | 1B | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | K | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Loftin | 4.8 | .695 | .200 | .028 | .132 | .501 | .704 | .249 | .336 | .402 | .737 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. | 4.7 | .743 | .240 | .031 | .263 | .393 | .762 | .299 | .363 | .555 | .919 |
| Jac Caglianone | 4.6 | .623 | .176 | .021 | .275 | .358 | 1.130 | .262 | .326 | .511 | .837 |
| Salvador Perez | 4.5 | .637 | .164 | .003 | .262 | .217 | .876 | .254 | .301 | .482 | .782 |
| Starling Marte | 4.4 | .745 | .170 | .014 | .128 | .299 | .982 | .264 | .325 | .409 | .734 |
| Carter Jensen | 4.3 | .560 | .172 | .012 | .189 | .436 | 1.074 | .245 | .326 | .445 | .771 |
| Isaac Collins | 4.2 | .565 | .164 | .012 | .099 | .487 | .918 | .233 | .334 | .368 | .702 |
| Tyler Tolbert | 4.0 | .622 | .152 | .013 | .070 | .271 | .998 | .230 | .289 | .333 | .622 |
| Josh Rojas | 3.9 | .562 | .163 | .010 | .088 | .356 | .813 | .232 | .306 | .358 | .664 |
Los Angeles Dodgers — projected lines
| Batter | PA | 1B | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | K | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shohei Ohtani | 4.8 | .641 | .187 | .045 | .312 | .746 | 1.032 | .295 | .410 | .596 | 1.006 |
| Andy Pages | 4.7 | .746 | .218 | .012 | .216 | .345 | .859 | .279 | .342 | .487 | .830 |
| Freddie Freeman | 4.6 | .801 | .238 | .015 | .183 | .541 | .712 | .311 | .402 | .517 | .919 |
| Kyle Tucker | 4.5 | .663 | .182 | .022 | .189 | .642 | .676 | .279 | .387 | .488 | .875 |
| Mookie Betts | 4.4 | .734 | .204 | .015 | .181 | .495 | .448 | .296 | .381 | .499 | .880 |
| Max Muncy | 4.3 | .520 | .146 | .015 | .213 | .657 | .910 | .252 | .377 | .482 | .859 |
| Teoscar Hernández | 4.2 | .655 | .180 | .007 | .200 | .342 | 1.001 | .276 | .343 | .487 | .830 |
| Hunter Feduccia | 4.0 | .576 | .161 | .026 | .075 | .503 | .979 | .238 | .337 | .362 | .699 |
| Miguel Rojas | 3.9 | .744 | .189 | .005 | .081 | .280 | .452 | .282 | .340 | .404 | .744 |
Data notes: 20/20 lineup+starter talents from projections