Milwaukee Brewers vs Los Angeles Dodgers — Prediction & Odds

August 16, 2026 · Logan Henderson vs Tarik Skubal · 74°F

8.1% edge · Los Angeles Dodgers

Milwaukee Brewers win

29.3%

Los Angeles Dodgers win

70.7%

Fair line (home)

-242

Proj. total

8.37

Score distribution

How often each team scores each run total across all simulations.

Milwaukee Brewers (mean 3.32)Los Angeles Dodgers (mean 5.05)

O/U line

Proj. total

8.37

Over

52.6%

Under

35.8%

Side	Model	Book	Fair
Milwaukee Brewers	29.3%	+162	+242
Los Angeles Dodgers	70.7%	-178	-242

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
William Contreras	4.6	.701	.163	.004	.142	.430	1.047	.246	.322	.391	.713
Luis Lara	4.5	.648	.134	.017	.054	.356	1.188	.210	.284	.292	.576
Jackson Chourio	4.4	.615	.181	.014	.188	.249	1.200	.244	.292	.433	.724
Jake Bauers	4.3	.451	.131	.008	.175	.444	1.497	.202	.291	.379	.670
Andrew Vaughn	4.2	.568	.156	.013	.135	.288	1.034	.227	.288	.379	.667
Gary Sánchez	4.1	.430	.103	.013	.176	.344	1.260	.197	.278	.377	.655
Brandon Lockridge	4.0	.588	.130	.013	.045	.284	1.319	.213	.275	.294	.569
Joey Ortiz	3.8	.551	.147	.013	.075	.269	.900	.223	.284	.336	.619
Jonathan Ornelas	3.7	.490	.088	.020	.054	.214	1.242	.189	.243	.274	.517

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
Shohei Ohtani	4.6	.566	.151	.038	.346	.660	1.155	.283	.391	.608	.999
Freddie Freeman	4.5	.701	.197	.013	.203	.485	.873	.283	.368	.494	.862
Andy Pages	4.4	.629	.189	.011	.224	.296	.963	.261	.320	.481	.801
Max Muncy	4.3	.468	.135	.012	.239	.599	1.085	.237	.352	.479	.832
Mookie Betts	4.2	.632	.172	.015	.194	.441	.550	.274	.356	.487	.842
Kyle Tucker	4.1	.550	.152	.017	.206	.549	.732	.265	.369	.497	.866
Tommy Edman	4.0	.597	.137	.029	.128	.270	.822	.245	.304	.403	.707
Teoscar Hernández	3.8	.537	.145	.006	.201	.282	1.076	.253	.313	.469	.782
Ben Rortvedt	3.7	.459	.114	.004	.087	.349	1.053	.200	.284	.316	.600

Data notes: away starter Logan Henderson: only 71 BF vs RHB this season · 20/20 lineup+starter talents from projections