San Francisco Giants vs Los Angeles Dodgers — Prediction & Odds

September 18, 2026 · Cesar Perdomo vs Tyler Glasnow · 70°F

3.4% edge · San Francisco Giants

San Francisco Giants win

30.5%

Los Angeles Dodgers win

69.5%

Fair line (home)

-228

Proj. total

8.35

Score distribution

How often each team scores each run total across all simulations.

San Francisco Giants (mean 3.34)Los Angeles Dodgers (mean 5.02)

Totals

O/U line

Proj. total

8.35

Over

44.7%

Under

46.8%

Model vs. market

Side	Model	Book	Fair
San Francisco Giants	30.5%	+261	+228
Los Angeles Dodgers	69.5%	-294	-228

Projected starters

Starter	IP	K	H	BB	R
Cesar Perdomo LHP · San Francisco Giants	4.5	2.5	5.1	2.0	2.5
Tyler Glasnow RHP · Los Angeles Dodgers	5.2	6.2	4.3	1.7	1.7

Strikeout ladder

Cesar Perdomo4+ 25%6+ 4%8+ 0%

Tyler Glasnow4+ 89%6+ 60%8+ 27%

Per-game averages across all simulations. IP is a decimal average of outs recorded, not baseball's 5.2 notation. R is runs allowed while the starter was still in the game; the simulation models no errors, so every run is earned by construction — which is why this says R and not ER.

San Francisco Giants — projected lines

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
Drew Gilbert	4.6	.581	.160	.031	.133	.443	1.111	.219	.303	.368	.671
Bryce Eldridge	4.5	.537	.163	.004	.171	.510	1.554	.219	.311	.391	.702
Jonah Cox	4.4	.690	.105	.063	.072	.273	1.409	.226	.278	.334	.613
Jung Hoo Lee	4.3	.707	.185	.042	.079	.334	.630	.257	.322	.385	.707
Shay Whitcomb	4.2	.493	.131	.008	.148	.278	1.397	.200	.258	.351	.609
Turner Hill	4.1	.638	.163	.035	.053	.387	.743	.242	.321	.349	.670
Scott Bandura	4.0	.569	.143	.022	.066	.349	1.097	.222	.296	.328	.624
Drew Cavanaugh	3.9	.461	.119	.005	.080	.386	1.365	.193	.283	.300	.584
Christian Koss	3.8	.540	.134	.009	.075	.191	1.047	.215	.262	.322	.584

Los Angeles Dodgers — projected lines

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
Mookie Betts	4.7	.780	.223	.015	.177	.510	.398	.289	.371	.479	.850
Will Smith	4.5	.707	.189	.010	.163	.561	.649	.272	.372	.449	.821
Teoscar Hernández	4.4	.739	.190	.018	.199	.364	.928	.283	.348	.487	.835
Freddie Freeman	4.3	.770	.228	.011	.137	.492	.590	.301	.388	.475	.863
Miguel Rojas	4.2	.803	.220	.004	.076	.283	.397	.281	.335	.397	.732
Kyle Tucker	4.1	.616	.165	.027	.157	.571	.523	.273	.377	.468	.845
Enrique Hernández	4.0	.619	.171	.013	.117	.303	.744	.248	.308	.395	.703
Alex Call	3.9	.606	.156	.011	.081	.482	.585	.253	.356	.378	.734
Josue De Paula	3.8	.623	.158	.011	.118	.400	.604	.270	.351	.428	.780

Data notes: away starter Cesar Perdomo: only 23 BF vs LHB this season · away starter Cesar Perdomo: only 38 BF vs RHB this season · 20/20 lineup+starter talents from projections