Seattle Mariners vs Miami Marlins — Prediction & Odds

July 7, 2026 · Bryan Woo vs Max Meyer · 84°F

5.7% edge · Seattle Mariners

Seattle Mariners win

51.9%

Miami Marlins win

48.0%

Fair line (home)

+108

Proj. total

7.92

Score distribution

How often each team scores each run total across all simulations.

Seattle Mariners (mean 4.17)Miami Marlins (mean 3.75)

O/U line

Proj. total

7.92

Over

40.3%

Under

51.9%

Side	Model	Book	Fair
Seattle Mariners	51.9%	+112	-108
Miami Marlins	48.0%	-121	+108

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
J.P. Crawford	4.8	.698	.174	.006	.108	.618	.978	.238	.343	.361	.704
Randy Arozarena	4.7	.629	.193	.011	.140	.488	1.243	.239	.339	.395	.734
Dominic Canzone	4.6	.668	.195	.004	.179	.365	1.097	.250	.315	.427	.742
Cal Raleigh	4.5	.472	.132	.003	.227	.541	1.296	.214	.317	.424	.741
Josh Naylor	4.4	.719	.175	.004	.141	.384	.699	.263	.334	.417	.750
Luke Raley	4.3	.541	.135	.014	.159	.318	1.362	.222	.304	.390	.694
Cole Young	4.2	.645	.161	.020	.069	.397	.787	.242	.325	.352	.677
Victor Robles	4.0	.626	.177	.013	.045	.301	.936	.236	.309	.329	.637
Colt Emerson	3.9	.521	.146	.017	.094	.349	1.050	.221	.303	.352	.656

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
Liam Hicks	4.5	.762	.157	.019	.115	.413	.657	.261	.342	.395	.736
Kyle Stowers	4.4	.570	.181	.021	.170	.330	1.359	.233	.300	.414	.714
Otto Lopez	4.3	.834	.204	.022	.086	.226	.699	.283	.326	.408	.734
Xavier Edwards	4.2	.892	.138	.048	.046	.326	.629	.291	.350	.387	.737
Griffin Conine	4.1	.545	.144	.013	.157	.304	1.391	.228	.292	.397	.689
Owen Caissie	4.0	.528	.169	.011	.137	.304	1.390	.230	.295	.394	.689
Jakob Marsee	3.9	.527	.126	.032	.075	.390	.952	.220	.309	.341	.650
Joe Mack	3.8	.519	.138	.009	.103	.245	1.090	.220	.277	.352	.629
Javier Sanoja	3.6	.639	.184	.023	.061	.195	.444	.264	.308	.384	.692

Data notes: 20/20 lineup+starter talents from projections