Cleveland Guardians vs Miami Marlins — Prediction & Odds

July 11, 2026 · Tanner Bibee vs Eury Pérez · 83°F

2.4% edge · Miami Marlins

Cleveland Guardians win

39.3%

Miami Marlins win

60.7%

Fair line (home)

-155

Proj. total

7.93

Score distribution

How often each team scores each run total across all simulations.

Cleveland Guardians (mean 3.58)Miami Marlins (mean 4.36)

O/U line

7.5

Proj. total

7.93

Over

44.9%

Under

55.1%

Side	Model	Book	Fair
Cleveland Guardians	39.3%	+135	+155
Miami Marlins	60.7%	-147	-155

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
Travis Bazzana	4.7	.582	.179	.022	.102	.569	1.318	.217	.320	.348	.667
Brayan Rocchio	4.6	.664	.165	.024	.093	.406	.918	.231	.312	.351	.663
Chase DeLauter	4.5	.677	.194	.015	.154	.442	.820	.260	.337	.432	.769
Kyle Manzardo	4.4	.473	.128	.015	.184	.484	1.316	.209	.306	.395	.701
Kahlil Watson	4.3	.457	.132	.015	.121	.373	1.534	.188	.267	.325	.592
Gabriel Arias	4.2	.506	.146	.018	.122	.288	1.487	.207	.270	.350	.620
Petey Halpin	4.0	.524	.135	.030	.071	.280	1.243	.203	.264	.313	.576
Patrick Bailey	3.9	.526	.116	.017	.077	.322	1.166	.206	.276	.313	.589
Steven Kwan	3.8	.660	.130	.017	.058	.422	.452	.258	.345	.359	.705

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
Liam Hicks	4.6	.793	.160	.019	.128	.469	.611	.272	.359	.416	.775
Otto Lopez	4.5	.886	.212	.036	.101	.268	.667	.295	.343	.436	.779
Kyle Stowers	4.4	.576	.175	.036	.193	.389	1.307	.249	.326	.459	.785
Xavier Edwards	4.3	.906	.133	.061	.046	.404	.585	.298	.368	.400	.768
Heriberto Hernández	4.2	.551	.151	.019	.181	.405	1.145	.242	.323	.438	.761
Griffin Conine	4.1	.537	.146	.011	.175	.365	1.304	.238	.314	.427	.741
Jakob Marsee	4.0	.551	.130	.033	.095	.440	.898	.234	.331	.373	.704
Joe Mack	3.8	.533	.136	.009	.133	.305	1.030	.232	.300	.391	.690
Javier Sanoja	3.7	.660	.198	.031	.066	.221	.396	.275	.322	.407	.729

Data notes: 20/20 lineup+starter talents from projections