Cleveland Guardians vs Miami Marlins — Prediction & Odds

July 12, 2026 · Joey Cantillo vs Tyler Phillips · 85°F

1.4% edge · Miami Marlins

Cleveland Guardians win

47.9%

Miami Marlins win

52.1%

Fair line (home)

-109

Proj. total

8.1

Score distribution

How often each team scores each run total across all simulations.

Cleveland Guardians (mean 4.05)Miami Marlins (mean 4.04)

O/U line

7.5

Proj. total

8.1

Over

45.6%

Under

54.4%

Side	Model	Book	Fair
Cleveland Guardians	47.9%	-101	+109
Miami Marlins	52.1%	-107	-109

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
Travis Bazzana	4.8	.666	.215	.026	.096	.604	1.035	.241	.343	.375	.718
Brayan Rocchio	4.7	.759	.197	.025	.091	.400	.721	.254	.329	.377	.706
Chase DeLauter	4.6	.804	.215	.016	.133	.459	.632	.285	.360	.443	.803
Kyle Manzardo	4.5	.536	.161	.013	.175	.526	1.081	.227	.326	.410	.737
Kahlil Watson	4.4	.555	.159	.018	.114	.403	1.294	.216	.295	.353	.648
Gabriel Arias	4.3	.607	.170	.018	.118	.296	1.270	.233	.295	.376	.671
Petey Halpin	4.1	.599	.151	.031	.072	.301	1.048	.223	.284	.336	.620
Patrick Bailey	4.0	.596	.128	.021	.073	.347	.997	.224	.296	.331	.627
Steven Kwan	3.9	.720	.140	.018	.051	.444	.353	.270	.357	.365	.723

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
Otto Lopez	4.6	.874	.208	.037	.100	.373	.728	.289	.351	.426	.777
Heriberto Hernández	4.5	.557	.155	.021	.176	.538	1.280	.231	.329	.416	.745
Liam Hicks	4.4	.718	.155	.018	.104	.552	.625	.263	.366	.396	.762
Xavier Edwards	4.3	.876	.129	.036	.040	.475	.624	.285	.368	.370	.737
Javier Sanoja	4.2	.719	.223	.034	.070	.330	.471	.272	.333	.402	.736
Leo Jiménez	4.1	.640	.155	.008	.076	.399	.952	.245	.337	.356	.693
Esteury Ruiz	4.0	.554	.149	.024	.094	.407	1.049	.234	.327	.371	.698
Rece Hinds	3.9	.483	.149	.017	.124	.285	1.341	.217	.281	.374	.655
Brian Navarreto	3.8	.522	.129	.010	.075	.266	1.009	.213	.275	.322	.597

Data notes: game-time temp 85F: run environment adjusted · 20/20 lineup+starter talents from projections