Los Angeles Angels vs Miami Marlins — Prediction & Odds

August 9, 2026 · Grayson Rodriguez vs Ryan Gusto · 85°F

2.8% edge · Los Angeles Angels

Los Angeles Angels win

45.1%

Miami Marlins win

54.9%

Fair line (home)

-122

Proj. total

8.68

Score distribution

How often each team scores each run total across all simulations.

Los Angeles Angels (mean 4.24)Miami Marlins (mean 4.44)

O/U line

8.5

Proj. total

8.68

Over

47.9%

Under

52.1%

Side	Model	Book	Fair
Los Angeles Angels	45.1%	+132	+122
Miami Marlins	54.9%	-143	-122

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
Wade Meckler	4.8	.828	.184	.016	.065	.511	1.066	.255	.338	.351	.689
Mike Trout	4.7	.540	.139	.010	.217	.751	1.295	.233	.364	.441	.805
Nolan Schanuel	4.6	.772	.173	.005	.115	.507	.654	.264	.355	.395	.750
Zach Neto	4.5	.579	.189	.015	.180	.381	1.187	.240	.319	.428	.748
Moisés Ballesteros	4.4	.734	.191	.011	.107	.407	.791	.265	.338	.400	.738
Denzer Guzman	4.3	.629	.162	.013	.103	.330	1.084	.232	.296	.358	.654
Josh Lowe	4.2	.603	.175	.013	.134	.348	1.130	.243	.311	.402	.713
Jose Siri	4.0	.496	.131	.023	.142	.284	1.331	.212	.276	.374	.650
Adam Frazier	3.9	.612	.147	.013	.057	.293	.802	.231	.299	.327	.626

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
Kyle Stowers	4.6	.586	.188	.031	.196	.490	1.387	.245	.334	.450	.783
Xavier Edwards	4.5	.950	.142	.056	.043	.487	.609	.296	.376	.392	.768
Otto Lopez	4.4	.868	.203	.033	.098	.333	.639	.296	.354	.435	.790
Griffin Conine	4.3	.561	.159	.010	.176	.455	1.379	.238	.326	.423	.749
Heriberto Hernández	4.2	.550	.160	.018	.164	.467	1.134	.241	.333	.427	.760
Owen Caissie	4.1	.524	.172	.009	.158	.403	1.407	.235	.316	.416	.733
Agustín Ramírez	4.0	.545	.183	.011	.143	.339	.855	.244	.316	.419	.735
Jakob Marsee	3.9	.520	.131	.032	.076	.505	.883	.228	.339	.356	.695
Javier Sanoja	3.8	.660	.194	.030	.066	.258	.396	.272	.326	.402	.728

Data notes: game-time temp 85F: run environment adjusted · 20/20 lineup+starter talents from projections