Miami Marlins vs Milwaukee Brewers — Prediction & Odds

July 19, 2026 · Eury Pérez vs Robert Gasser · 77°F

0.6% edge · Miami Marlins

Miami Marlins win

46.0%

Milwaukee Brewers win

54.0%

Fair line (home)

-117

Proj. total

8.34

Score distribution

How often each team scores each run total across all simulations.

Miami Marlins (mean 4.11)Milwaukee Brewers (mean 4.24)

O/U line

Proj. total

8.34

Over

44.2%

Under

47.3%

Side	Model	Book	Fair
Miami Marlins	46.0%	+116	+117
Milwaukee Brewers	54.0%	-125	-117

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
Xavier Edwards	4.8	.974	.140	.037	.055	.414	.685	.278	.346	.366	.712
Heriberto Hernández	4.7	.581	.152	.019	.210	.437	1.334	.230	.310	.426	.736
Kyle Stowers	4.6	.543	.163	.030	.212	.409	1.404	.232	.312	.442	.755
Javier Sanoja	4.5	.732	.219	.031	.082	.267	.492	.256	.306	.383	.690
Liam Hicks	4.3	.713	.140	.016	.117	.427	.615	.258	.346	.395	.742
Leo Jiménez	4.2	.617	.157	.007	.086	.324	.981	.230	.313	.343	.657
Griffin Conine	4.1	.510	.136	.008	.170	.371	1.378	.222	.301	.401	.703
Esteury Ruiz	4.0	.535	.146	.025	.100	.330	1.064	.224	.306	.362	.668
Jakob Marsee	3.9	.485	.122	.030	.090	.441	.941	.214	.316	.347	.663

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
Christian Yelich	4.6	.650	.148	.010	.162	.546	1.283	.244	.340	.409	.749
Jackson Chourio	4.5	.651	.195	.014	.209	.327	1.089	.261	.320	.468	.789
Brice Turang	4.3	.641	.159	.018	.129	.498	1.105	.248	.337	.400	.737
Andrew Vaughn	4.2	.595	.171	.014	.154	.374	.912	.244	.318	.417	.735
Jake Bauers	4.2	.458	.125	.011	.205	.545	1.308	.224	.332	.437	.769
Garrett Mitchell	4.0	.526	.146	.028	.127	.466	1.390	.233	.328	.398	.726
Gary Sánchez	3.9	.449	.098	.015	.193	.437	1.064	.221	.321	.427	.748
Braden Shewmake	3.8	.518	.144	.019	.101	.238	.869	.222	.278	.359	.637
Joey Ortiz	3.7	.547	.148	.014	.086	.326	.741	.239	.312	.369	.681

Data notes: home starter Robert Gasser: only 63 BF vs LHB this season · 20/20 lineup+starter talents from projections