Miami Marlins vs Milwaukee Brewers — Prediction & Odds

July 18, 2026 · Max Meyer vs Shane Drohan · 78°F

3.4% edge · Miami Marlins

Miami Marlins win

46.7%

Milwaukee Brewers win

53.3%

Fair line (home)

-114

Proj. total

8.57

Score distribution

How often each team scores each run total across all simulations.

Miami Marlins (mean 4.23)Milwaukee Brewers (mean 4.34)

O/U line

Proj. total

8.57

Over

46.7%

Under

45.7%

Side	Model	Book	Fair
Miami Marlins	46.7%	+126	+114
Milwaukee Brewers	53.3%	-137	-114

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
Otto Lopez	4.8	.884	.204	.037	.111	.361	.722	.279	.339	.417	.756
Heriberto Hernández	4.7	.573	.158	.019	.195	.520	1.321	.228	.320	.417	.737
Kyle Stowers	4.6	.550	.166	.028	.192	.480	1.401	.230	.320	.427	.746
Xavier Edwards	4.5	.883	.125	.041	.048	.438	.637	.273	.348	.360	.708
Javier Sanoja	4.4	.716	.225	.031	.073	.313	.493	.259	.316	.384	.700
Liam Hicks	4.3	.692	.132	.016	.115	.493	.584	.258	.355	.395	.750
Leo Jiménez	4.2	.614	.164	.007	.083	.368	.919	.236	.323	.352	.675
Esteury Ruiz	4.1	.552	.149	.024	.097	.368	1.075	.228	.312	.363	.675
Joe Mack	3.9	.502	.121	.008	.132	.349	1.101	.214	.289	.363	.653

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
Christian Yelich	4.6	.703	.158	.011	.154	.524	1.238	.252	.342	.410	.752
Jackson Chourio	4.5	.693	.208	.016	.209	.320	1.037	.270	.327	.478	.805
Brice Turang	4.4	.697	.165	.022	.117	.475	1.051	.255	.339	.398	.737
William Contreras	4.3	.737	.175	.005	.152	.497	.789	.282	.370	.451	.821
Jake Bauers	4.2	.498	.143	.011	.194	.541	1.252	.233	.339	.438	.776
Garrett Mitchell	4.1	.558	.154	.028	.121	.444	1.354	.237	.326	.395	.722
Luis Lara	4.0	.634	.129	.021	.048	.435	.871	.237	.330	.327	.656
Cooper Pratt	3.9	.588	.115	.026	.068	.411	.780	.232	.322	.340	.661
Joey Ortiz	3.8	.598	.164	.012	.081	.312	.709	.250	.318	.376	.693

Data notes: 20/20 lineup+starter talents from projections