New York Mets vs Milwaukee Brewers — Prediction & Odds

July 20, 2026 · Freddy Peralta vs Jacob Misiorowski · 82°F

11.8% edge · New York Mets

New York Mets win

46.0%

Milwaukee Brewers win

54.0%

Fair line (home)

-117

Proj. total

8.79

Score distribution

How often each team scores each run total across all simulations.

New York Mets (mean 4.34)Milwaukee Brewers (mean 4.45)

O/U line

7.5

Proj. total

8.79

Over

56.3%

Under

43.7%

Side	Model	Book	Fair
New York Mets	46.0%	+186	+117
Milwaukee Brewers	54.0%	-205	-117

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
A.J. Ewing	4.8	.710	.176	.025	.084	.509	1.439	.234	.321	.347	.668
Juan Soto	4.7	.531	.126	.016	.256	.993	1.010	.253	.416	.506	.921
Bo Bichette	4.6	.771	.182	.013	.127	.334	1.041	.259	.318	.398	.716
Francisco Lindor	4.5	.572	.140	.020	.166	.455	1.071	.228	.323	.401	.724
Jorge Polanco	4.4	.524	.131	.003	.174	.505	1.175	.217	.316	.389	.705
Jared Young	4.3	.510	.136	.011	.149	.430	1.252	.214	.308	.375	.683
Luis Robert Jr.	4.2	.505	.132	.006	.141	.366	1.401	.209	.288	.361	.649
Brett Baty	4.0	.537	.121	.011	.117	.381	1.286	.217	.298	.353	.651
Francisco Alvarez	3.9	.453	.118	.008	.176	.363	1.215	.215	.298	.404	.702

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
Christian Yelich	4.6	.672	.152	.012	.163	.558	1.250	.247	.344	.412	.756
Jackson Chourio	4.5	.674	.203	.015	.225	.337	1.044	.269	.328	.487	.816
Brice Turang	4.4	.674	.163	.022	.124	.496	1.074	.253	.340	.401	.741
William Contreras	4.3	.703	.168	.004	.161	.521	.804	.276	.369	.452	.820
Garrett Mitchell	4.2	.560	.163	.028	.146	.487	1.384	.244	.337	.422	.760
Andrew Vaughn	4.1	.599	.160	.015	.145	.349	.837	.248	.320	.417	.737
Jake Bauers	4.0	.457	.130	.010	.191	.531	1.185	.230	.339	.440	.779
Cooper Pratt	3.9	.565	.114	.028	.072	.409	.816	.227	.318	.339	.657
Joey Ortiz	3.8	.579	.150	.012	.086	.326	.713	.243	.315	.369	.684

Data notes: 20/20 lineup+starter talents from projections