Colorado Rockies vs Milwaukee Brewers — Prediction & Odds

July 24, 2026 · Tomoyuki Sugano vs Shane Drohan · 75°F

4.4% edge · Colorado Rockies

Colorado Rockies win

32.5%

Milwaukee Brewers win

67.5%

Fair line (home)

-208

Proj. total

10.25

Score distribution

How often each team scores each run total across all simulations.

Colorado Rockies (mean 4.30)Milwaukee Brewers (mean 5.95)

O/U line

8.5

Proj. total

10.25

Over

61.9%

Under

38.1%

Side	Model	Book	Fair
Colorado Rockies	32.5%	+248	+208
Milwaukee Brewers	67.5%	-279	-208

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
Jake McCarthy	4.8	.824	.175	.069	.114	.356	.836	.271	.336	.422	.758
Kyle Karros	4.7	.723	.203	.026	.104	.523	1.043	.258	.349	.397	.746
Cole Carrigg	4.6	.717	.155	.045	.099	.335	1.034	.244	.309	.375	.684
Hunter Goodman	4.5	.543	.183	.020	.254	.324	1.288	.245	.307	.486	.793
Willi Castro	4.3	.654	.154	.017	.094	.352	1.080	.236	.316	.357	.674
Troy Johnston	4.2	.698	.184	.018	.098	.329	.857	.259	.326	.392	.719
Mickey Moniak	4.1	.574	.165	.046	.189	.233	1.047	.252	.299	.464	.763
Tyler Freeman	4.0	.730	.155	.018	.065	.320	.551	.270	.348	.377	.725
Ezequiel Tovar	3.9	.576	.190	.019	.116	.216	.960	.246	.292	.403	.695

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
Christian Yelich	4.8	.942	.216	.015	.202	.455	.863	.319	.389	.517	.906
Jackson Chourio	4.7	.910	.283	.021	.248	.274	.683	.334	.378	.578	.956
Brice Turang	4.6	.918	.226	.030	.155	.401	.745	.320	.382	.500	.882
William Contreras	4.5	.924	.229	.005	.183	.420	.512	.334	.401	.531	.932
Garrett Mitchell	4.4	.779	.219	.042	.170	.394	1.048	.308	.376	.515	.891
Luis Lara	4.3	.853	.177	.029	.068	.380	.616	.295	.366	.411	.777
Jake Bauers	4.1	.635	.183	.013	.238	.452	.885	.293	.376	.545	.921
Joey Ortiz	4.0	.791	.210	.020	.102	.275	.481	.301	.354	.449	.803
David Hamilton	3.9	.698	.155	.033	.115	.304	.707	.278	.339	.436	.775

Data notes: 20/20 lineup+starter talents from projections