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2.6% edge · Colorado RockiesColorado Rockies vs Milwaukee Brewers — Prediction & Odds
July 25, 2026 · Ryan Feltner vs Robert Gasser · 80°F
Colorado Rockies win
34.5%
Milwaukee Brewers win
65.5%
Fair line (home)
-190
Proj. total
10.02
Score distribution
How often each team scores each run total across all simulations.
Colorado Rockies (mean 4.30)Milwaukee Brewers (mean 5.72)
Totals
O/U line
9
Proj. total
10.02
Over
49.4%
Under
40.2%
Model vs. market
| Side | Model | Book | Fair |
|---|---|---|---|
| Colorado Rockies | 34.5% | +207 | +190 |
| Milwaukee Brewers | 65.5% | -229 | -190 |
Colorado Rockies — projected lines
| Batter | PA | 1B | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | K | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jake McCarthy | 4.8 | .816 | .171 | .066 | .126 | .298 | .845 | .268 | .327 | .423 | .750 |
| Kyle Karros | 4.7 | .734 | .212 | .025 | .115 | .447 | 1.067 | .262 | .342 | .408 | .750 |
| Cole Carrigg | 4.5 | .712 | .157 | .048 | .110 | .281 | 1.051 | .244 | .303 | .383 | .686 |
| Hunter Goodman | 4.4 | .536 | .182 | .017 | .276 | .289 | 1.294 | .247 | .304 | .501 | .806 |
| TJ Rumfield | 4.3 | .695 | .182 | .017 | .133 | .372 | .807 | .263 | .338 | .421 | .759 |
| Willi Castro | 4.2 | .640 | .161 | .015 | .108 | .305 | 1.057 | .243 | .319 | .378 | .697 |
| Braxton Fulford | 4.1 | .538 | .164 | .022 | .122 | .316 | 1.246 | .227 | .300 | .380 | .680 |
| Tyler Freeman | 4.0 | .719 | .158 | .018 | .073 | .261 | .555 | .269 | .342 | .384 | .726 |
| Ezequiel Tovar | 3.9 | .560 | .180 | .017 | .133 | .189 | .989 | .242 | .285 | .409 | .694 |
Milwaukee Brewers — projected lines
| Batter | PA | 1B | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | K | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christian Yelich | 4.8 | .872 | .198 | .016 | .180 | .580 | .994 | .301 | .390 | .485 | .875 |
| Jackson Chourio | 4.7 | .863 | .258 | .021 | .239 | .339 | .822 | .319 | .372 | .553 | .925 |
| Brice Turang | 4.6 | .850 | .203 | .028 | .143 | .504 | .842 | .300 | .380 | .469 | .849 |
| William Contreras | 4.5 | .862 | .224 | .006 | .181 | .514 | .615 | .323 | .405 | .521 | .926 |
| Jake Bauers | 4.4 | .642 | .179 | .015 | .225 | .565 | 1.021 | .281 | .380 | .515 | .895 |
| Garrett Mitchell | 4.3 | .702 | .196 | .035 | .147 | .467 | 1.149 | .287 | .371 | .475 | .846 |
| Luis Lara | 4.2 | .799 | .161 | .027 | .063 | .449 | .685 | .287 | .372 | .397 | .769 |
| Cooper Pratt | 4.0 | .733 | .147 | .037 | .080 | .418 | .637 | .277 | .359 | .405 | .765 |
| David Hamilton | 3.9 | .657 | .141 | .035 | .106 | .365 | .816 | .265 | .338 | .414 | .752 |
Data notes: home starter Robert Gasser: only 71 BF vs LHB this season · 20/20 lineup+starter talents from projections