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6.7% edge · Colorado RockiesColorado Rockies vs Milwaukee Brewers — Prediction & Odds
July 26, 2026 · Kyle Freeland vs Jacob Misiorowski · 83°F
Colorado Rockies win
31.9%
Milwaukee Brewers win
68.1%
Fair line (home)
-213
Proj. total
9.89
Score distribution
How often each team scores each run total across all simulations.
Colorado Rockies (mean 4.08)Milwaukee Brewers (mean 5.81)
Totals
O/U line
7.5
Proj. total
9.89
Over
65.9%
Under
34.1%
Model vs. market
| Side | Model | Book | Fair |
|---|---|---|---|
| Colorado Rockies | 31.9% | +288 | +213 |
| Milwaukee Brewers | 68.1% | -327 | -213 |
Colorado Rockies — projected lines
| Batter | PA | 1B | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | K | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jake McCarthy | 4.8 | .745 | .160 | .062 | .104 | .361 | 1.087 | .249 | .320 | .387 | .707 |
| Mickey Moniak | 4.7 | .591 | .165 | .049 | .202 | .261 | 1.456 | .232 | .283 | .433 | .716 |
| Hunter Goodman | 4.5 | .489 | .168 | .015 | .248 | .336 | 1.590 | .222 | .288 | .449 | .737 |
| TJ Rumfield | 4.4 | .638 | .171 | .014 | .129 | .446 | 1.040 | .244 | .332 | .394 | .726 |
| Kyle Karros | 4.3 | .621 | .177 | .019 | .098 | .494 | 1.195 | .243 | .339 | .378 | .717 |
| Cole Carrigg | 4.2 | .617 | .137 | .056 | .092 | .329 | 1.166 | .235 | .306 | .373 | .678 |
| Willi Castro | 4.1 | .575 | .138 | .020 | .088 | .373 | 1.222 | .226 | .317 | .348 | .665 |
| Troy Johnston | 4.0 | .601 | .164 | .014 | .086 | .324 | 1.032 | .240 | .315 | .365 | .680 |
| Edouard Julien | 3.9 | .487 | .126 | .013 | .090 | .549 | 1.283 | .218 | .337 | .346 | .683 |
Milwaukee Brewers — projected lines
| Batter | PA | 1B | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | K | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jackson Chourio | 4.8 | .909 | .282 | .021 | .261 | .263 | .785 | .331 | .372 | .579 | .951 |
| Brice Turang | 4.6 | .931 | .218 | .028 | .157 | .405 | .819 | .317 | .379 | .494 | .874 |
| Andrew Vaughn | 4.5 | .856 | .243 | .024 | .190 | .299 | .659 | .314 | .366 | .520 | .886 |
| William Contreras | 4.4 | .909 | .224 | .006 | .190 | .396 | .568 | .334 | .398 | .536 | .934 |
| Jake Bauers | 4.3 | .662 | .186 | .011 | .247 | .455 | .984 | .290 | .370 | .538 | .908 |
| Gary Sánchez | 4.2 | .640 | .158 | .019 | .249 | .375 | .821 | .284 | .360 | .535 | .894 |
| Luis Lara | 4.1 | .822 | .164 | .021 | .065 | .340 | .668 | .288 | .355 | .397 | .752 |
| Cooper Pratt | 4.0 | .735 | .154 | .037 | .084 | .340 | .610 | .280 | .349 | .412 | .761 |
| Joey Ortiz | 3.9 | .737 | .197 | .018 | .102 | .269 | .522 | .295 | .349 | .446 | .794 |
Data notes: 20/20 lineup+starter talents from projections