Minnesota Twins vs Milwaukee Brewers — Prediction & Odds

August 9, 2026 · Connor Prielipp vs Jacob Misiorowski · 82°F

12.0% edge · Minnesota Twins

Minnesota Twins win

41.8%

Milwaukee Brewers win

58.2%

Fair line (home)

-139

Proj. total

8.33

Score distribution

How often each team scores each run total across all simulations.

Minnesota Twins (mean 3.91)Milwaukee Brewers (mean 4.43)

O/U line

Proj. total

8.33

Over

52.0%

Under

36.5%

Side	Model	Book	Fair
Minnesota Twins	41.8%	+228	+139
Milwaukee Brewers	58.2%	-254	-139

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
Trevor Larnach	4.8	.619	.166	.012	.147	.558	1.342	.228	.326	.380	.707
Royce Lewis	4.6	.567	.170	.004	.196	.405	1.395	.223	.297	.406	.703
Josh Bell	4.5	.597	.136	.010	.153	.496	1.192	.225	.318	.379	.697
Kody Clemens	4.4	.508	.149	.030	.180	.341	1.321	.216	.286	.402	.688
Brooks Lee	4.3	.620	.140	.019	.135	.311	.963	.231	.294	.378	.672
Luke Keaschall	4.2	.644	.161	.009	.069	.457	.902	.242	.341	.348	.690
Victor Caratini	4.1	.601	.114	.005	.119	.363	.990	.232	.321	.365	.686
Alan Roden	4.0	.563	.139	.014	.088	.435	.989	.232	.331	.355	.686
Ryan Kreidler	3.9	.431	.117	.019	.082	.413	1.369	.190	.287	.308	.595

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
Jackson Chourio	4.6	.761	.230	.016	.207	.319	1.012	.283	.337	.489	.826
Brice Turang	4.5	.751	.178	.023	.115	.484	1.029	.266	.347	.408	.755
Andrew Vaughn	4.4	.709	.201	.018	.141	.374	.832	.268	.338	.433	.771
William Contreras	4.3	.754	.185	.004	.142	.503	.747	.287	.376	.451	.827
Jake Bauers	4.2	.538	.153	.012	.189	.527	1.189	.245	.346	.449	.794
Luis Lara	4.1	.689	.137	.016	.050	.400	.853	.245	.329	.332	.662
Gary Sánchez	4.0	.496	.119	.017	.184	.428	.975	.233	.329	.435	.763
Brandon Lockridge	3.9	.659	.152	.017	.047	.347	1.034	.250	.323	.344	.667
David Hamilton	3.8	.532	.124	.027	.091	.341	.930	.228	.303	.361	.664

Data notes: 20/20 lineup+starter talents from projections