Minnesota Twins vs Milwaukee Brewers — Prediction & Odds

August 7, 2026 · Zebby Matthews vs Shane Drohan · 85°F

5.6% edge · Minnesota Twins

Minnesota Twins win

44.7%

Milwaukee Brewers win

55.3%

Fair line (home)

-124

Proj. total

9.3

Score distribution

How often each team scores each run total across all simulations.

Minnesota Twins (mean 4.54)Milwaukee Brewers (mean 4.77)

O/U line

Proj. total

9.3

Over

53.0%

Under

39.6%

Side	Model	Book	Fair
Minnesota Twins	44.7%	+150	+124
Milwaukee Brewers	55.3%	-164	-124

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
Austin Martin	4.8	.789	.201	.009	.051	.614	.862	.252	.356	.341	.697
Ryan Jeffers	4.7	.643	.197	.013	.192	.538	.952	.254	.352	.449	.801
Royce Lewis	4.6	.619	.182	.004	.227	.399	1.090	.246	.316	.454	.771
Josh Bell	4.5	.649	.148	.010	.177	.425	.948	.243	.321	.416	.737
Kody Clemens	4.4	.551	.162	.033	.206	.335	1.037	.237	.302	.447	.750
Luke Keaschall	4.3	.722	.180	.015	.078	.451	.698	.264	.355	.382	.737
Kaelen Culpepper	4.2	.632	.150	.014	.122	.363	.892	.243	.318	.388	.706
Victor Caratini	4.1	.675	.123	.004	.121	.319	.791	.252	.328	.387	.715
Ryan Kreidler	4.0	.491	.128	.022	.102	.417	1.170	.212	.302	.348	.650

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
Brice Turang	4.7	.827	.191	.027	.150	.409	.973	.283	.348	.447	.794
Jackson Chourio	4.5	.754	.233	.018	.240	.257	.927	.293	.336	.525	.862
Jake Bauers	4.4	.588	.166	.012	.239	.465	1.193	.256	.340	.487	.827
William Contreras	4.3	.788	.196	.007	.175	.400	.706	.300	.368	.489	.857
Garrett Mitchell	4.2	.644	.180	.032	.149	.386	1.275	.264	.336	.446	.781
Christian Yelich	4.1	.685	.158	.011	.162	.388	.974	.275	.348	.455	.802
Luis Lara	4.0	.705	.144	.025	.060	.355	.770	.259	.333	.363	.695
Cooper Pratt	3.9	.637	.129	.029	.077	.338	.706	.248	.320	.367	.687
David Hamilton	3.8	.559	.128	.031	.119	.277	.892	.241	.300	.398	.699

Data notes: game-time temp 85F: run environment adjusted · 20/20 lineup+starter talents from projections