Texas Rangers vs Milwaukee Brewers — Prediction & Odds

August 28, 2026 · Cody Bradford vs Logan Henderson · 76°F

9.3% edge · Texas Rangers

Texas Rangers win

43.6%

Milwaukee Brewers win

56.4%

Fair line (home)

-130

Proj. total

9.01

Score distribution

How often each team scores each run total across all simulations.

Texas Rangers (mean 4.29)Milwaukee Brewers (mean 4.72)

Totals

O/U line

7.5

Proj. total

9.01

Over

58.1%

Under

41.9%

Model vs. market

Side	Model	Book	Fair
Texas Rangers	43.6%	+186	+130
Milwaukee Brewers	56.4%	-205	-130

Projected starters

Starter	IP	K	H	BB	R
Cody Bradford LHP · Texas Rangers	4.9	4.3	5.4	1.6	2.5
Logan Henderson RHP · Milwaukee Brewers	4.8	5.4	4.2	1.6	2.1

Strikeout ladder

Cody Bradford4+ 65%6+ 26%8+ 6%

Logan Henderson4+ 80%6+ 45%8+ 15%

Per-game averages across all simulations. IP is a decimal average of outs recorded, not baseball's 5.2 notation. R is runs allowed while the starter was still in the game; the simulation models no errors, so every run is earned by construction — which is why this says R and not ER.

Texas Rangers — projected lines

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
Joc Pederson	4.7	.550	.130	.018	.264	.517	1.250	.233	.326	.465	.791
Corey Seager	4.6	.601	.156	.004	.249	.476	1.094	.247	.331	.470	.801
Wyatt Langford	4.5	.582	.165	.019	.208	.461	1.173	.244	.327	.451	.778
Brandon Nimmo	4.4	.631	.158	.020	.166	.391	1.087	.247	.323	.424	.747
Ezequiel Duran	4.3	.612	.176	.020	.129	.226	1.159	.233	.279	.382	.661
Evan Carter	4.2	.499	.141	.029	.131	.423	1.095	.216	.304	.376	.680
Jake Burger	4.1	.512	.140	.005	.210	.235	1.176	.229	.281	.435	.716
Cody Freeman	4.0	.586	.154	.005	.124	.211	.711	.234	.280	.379	.658
Danny Jansen	3.8	.399	.120	.011	.144	.376	1.051	.198	.288	.367	.655

Milwaukee Brewers — projected lines

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
Brice Turang	4.6	.783	.192	.020	.154	.411	.993	.274	.341	.440	.780
Jackson Chourio	4.5	.729	.228	.016	.232	.287	.895	.287	.336	.514	.850
Jake Bauers	4.4	.575	.154	.016	.230	.513	1.125	.253	.346	.480	.825
William Contreras	4.3	.735	.199	.008	.169	.425	.675	.289	.363	.476	.840
Christian Yelich	4.2	.664	.158	.015	.159	.410	.978	.265	.343	.443	.785
Joey Ortiz	4.1	.673	.177	.025	.111	.296	.669	.262	.320	.410	.730
Garrett Mitchell	4.0	.580	.170	.029	.127	.390	1.177	.254	.334	.425	.759
Sal Frelick	3.9	.727	.159	.014	.084	.298	.465	.278	.339	.401	.740
David Hamilton	3.8	.540	.122	.024	.109	.290	.869	.231	.294	.376	.670

Data notes: away starter Cody Bradford: only 26 BF vs LHB this season · away starter Cody Bradford: only 61 BF vs RHB this season · 20/20 lineup+starter talents from projections