Texas Rangers vs Milwaukee Brewers — Prediction & Odds

August 29, 2026 · Cal Quantrill vs Shane Drohan · 73°F

3.7% edge · Texas Rangers

Texas Rangers win

42.9%

Milwaukee Brewers win

57.1%

Fair line (home)

-133

Proj. total

8.9

Score distribution

How often each team scores each run total across all simulations.

Texas Rangers (mean 4.20)Milwaukee Brewers (mean 4.71)

Totals

O/U line

Proj. total

8.9

Over

49.8%

Under

42.9%

Model vs. market

Side	Model	Book	Fair
Texas Rangers	42.9%	+150	+133
Milwaukee Brewers	57.1%	-164	-133

Projected starters

Starter	IP	K	H	BB	R
Cal Quantrill RHP · Texas Rangers	3.0	2.6	3.4	1.2	1.6
Shane Drohan LHP · Milwaukee Brewers	4.0	4.0	3.6	1.5	1.7

Strikeout ladder

Cal Quantrill4+ 25%6+ 4%8+ 0%

Shane Drohan4+ 57%6+ 20%8+ 4%

Per-game averages across all simulations. IP is a decimal average of outs recorded, not baseball's 5.2 notation. R is runs allowed while the starter was still in the game; the simulation models no errors, so every run is earned by construction — which is why this says R and not ER.

Texas Rangers — projected lines

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
Justin Foscue	4.7	.586	.206	.013	.151	.428	1.030	.225	.305	.386	.691
Corey Seager	4.6	.624	.172	.004	.221	.525	.999	.252	.344	.460	.804
Wyatt Langford	4.5	.589	.169	.021	.182	.509	1.082	.243	.335	.433	.768
Brandon Nimmo	4.4	.656	.164	.019	.155	.434	.998	.254	.338	.425	.762
Ezequiel Duran	4.3	.637	.188	.021	.107	.250	1.096	.237	.289	.374	.663
Jake Burger	4.2	.547	.142	.005	.200	.284	1.117	.232	.293	.426	.720
Danny Jansen	4.1	.435	.136	.010	.143	.439	1.052	.202	.299	.365	.664
Logan O'Hoppe	4.0	.517	.117	.004	.135	.294	1.101	.213	.279	.359	.637
Cody Freeman	3.9	.600	.157	.006	.110	.228	.633	.243	.293	.382	.675

Milwaukee Brewers — projected lines

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
Brice Turang	4.7	.795	.189	.022	.139	.496	.934	.275	.355	.432	.787
Jackson Chourio	4.6	.737	.223	.016	.211	.327	.903	.282	.339	.493	.832
Jake Bauers	4.4	.581	.155	.014	.226	.577	1.103	.255	.358	.480	.838
William Contreras	4.3	.754	.187	.009	.156	.489	.649	.290	.374	.466	.840
Garrett Mitchell	4.2	.621	.182	.027	.131	.465	1.218	.257	.346	.426	.771
Christian Yelich	4.1	.651	.157	.014	.140	.456	.949	.264	.352	.430	.782
Luis Lara	4.0	.676	.161	.026	.057	.390	.755	.256	.336	.363	.698
Cooper Pratt	3.9	.610	.136	.028	.083	.377	.703	.244	.324	.369	.693
David Hamilton	3.8	.551	.124	.025	.094	.330	.869	.230	.302	.362	.664

Data notes: 20/20 lineup+starter talents from projections