Texas Rangers vs Milwaukee Brewers — Prediction & Odds

August 30, 2026 · Kumar Rocker vs Dustin May · 79°F

4.3% edge · Texas Rangers

Texas Rangers win

44.5%

Milwaukee Brewers win

55.5%

Fair line (home)

-125

Proj. total

9.34

Score distribution

How often each team scores each run total across all simulations.

Texas Rangers (mean 4.52)Milwaukee Brewers (mean 4.82)

Totals

O/U line

8.5

Proj. total

9.34

Over

53.5%

Under

46.5%

Model vs. market

Side	Model	Book	Fair
Texas Rangers	44.5%	+144	+125
Milwaukee Brewers	55.5%	-156	-125

Projected starters

Starter	IP	K	H	BB	R
Kumar Rocker RHP · Texas Rangers	4.8	4.6	5.2	2.2	2.6
Dustin May RHP · Milwaukee Brewers	4.8	4.9	4.6	1.9	2.3

Strikeout ladder

Kumar Rocker4+ 70%6+ 32%8+ 8%

Dustin May4+ 73%6+ 36%8+ 10%

Per-game averages across all simulations. IP is a decimal average of outs recorded, not baseball's 5.2 notation. R is runs allowed while the starter was still in the game; the simulation models no errors, so every run is earned by construction — which is why this says R and not ER.

Texas Rangers — projected lines

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
Joc Pederson	4.8	.596	.134	.019	.245	.578	1.183	.242	.347	.462	.808
Corey Seager	4.7	.650	.176	.003	.237	.533	1.003	.261	.352	.479	.831
Wyatt Langford	4.6	.602	.170	.019	.190	.513	1.116	.244	.336	.438	.774
Brandon Nimmo	4.5	.662	.162	.023	.161	.432	1.035	.254	.338	.429	.766
Ezequiel Duran	4.4	.659	.198	.022	.123	.262	1.093	.248	.301	.399	.700
Jake Burger	4.3	.569	.154	.005	.209	.281	1.146	.240	.301	.443	.744
Evan Carter	4.1	.525	.143	.029	.127	.462	1.001	.228	.326	.388	.714
Cody Freeman	4.0	.621	.162	.006	.125	.239	.668	.243	.294	.389	.683
Elias Díaz	3.9	.529	.142	.004	.109	.241	1.006	.216	.272	.347	.619

Milwaukee Brewers — projected lines

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
Brice Turang	4.7	.789	.194	.023	.137	.510	.989	.275	.356	.432	.787
Garrett Mitchell	4.6	.665	.192	.029	.142	.511	1.350	.256	.346	.424	.770
Jake Bauers	4.5	.599	.160	.015	.215	.610	1.123	.259	.367	.478	.846
Jackson Chourio	4.3	.692	.225	.018	.198	.328	.887	.284	.342	.497	.840
Christian Yelich	4.3	.680	.155	.015	.146	.488	1.002	.267	.357	.434	.791
Gary Sánchez	4.2	.521	.131	.015	.210	.458	.935	.242	.338	.460	.798
Sal Frelick	4.0	.762	.180	.014	.075	.353	.489	.282	.351	.400	.751
David Hamilton	3.9	.569	.130	.029	.101	.365	.913	.234	.309	.372	.681
Joey Ortiz	3.8	.642	.165	.020	.090	.319	.632	.265	.332	.403	.735

Data notes: 20/20 lineup+starter talents from projections