Cincinnati Reds vs Milwaukee Brewers — Prediction & Odds

September 12, 2026 · Brady Singer vs Shane Drohan · 76°F

2.1% edge · Cincinnati Reds

Cincinnati Reds win

38.9%

Milwaukee Brewers win

61.1%

Fair line (home)

-157

Proj. total

9.44

Score distribution

How often each team scores each run total across all simulations.

Cincinnati Reds (mean 4.33)Milwaukee Brewers (mean 5.11)

Totals

O/U line

8.5

Proj. total

9.44

Over

53.8%

Under

46.2%

Model vs. market

Side	Model	Book	Fair
Cincinnati Reds	38.9%	+166	+157
Milwaukee Brewers	61.1%	-182	-157

Projected starters

Starter	IP	K	H	BB	R
Brady Singer RHP · Cincinnati Reds	5.1	4.6	5.8	2.1	2.9
Shane Drohan LHP · Milwaukee Brewers	4.0	4.4	3.7	1.6	1.8

Strikeout ladder

Brady Singer4+ 69%6+ 31%8+ 9%

Shane Drohan4+ 66%6+ 26%8+ 6%

Per-game averages across all simulations. IP is a decimal average of outs recorded, not baseball's 5.2 notation. R is runs allowed while the starter was still in the game; the simulation models no errors, so every run is earned by construction — which is why this says R and not ER.

Cincinnati Reds — projected lines

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
Dane Myers	4.8	.746	.155	.004	.122	.416	1.225	.239	.313	.362	.675
Elly De La Cruz	4.6	.664	.191	.034	.187	.452	1.285	.259	.336	.456	.792
Sal Stewart	4.5	.652	.189	.002	.218	.417	.985	.260	.334	.468	.801
Tyler Stephenson	4.4	.587	.170	.003	.144	.470	1.268	.231	.319	.386	.705
Eugenio Suárez	4.3	.460	.131	.002	.231	.425	1.425	.215	.304	.431	.736
JJ Bleday	4.2	.469	.148	.017	.189	.536	1.013	.225	.328	.430	.757
Juan Brito	4.1	.524	.156	.011	.099	.370	.943	.213	.292	.341	.633
Héctor Rodríguez	4.0	.586	.130	.023	.178	.243	.917	.246	.297	.436	.734
Ke'Bryan Hayes	3.9	.604	.133	.022	.092	.276	.814	.238	.298	.365	.663

Milwaukee Brewers — projected lines

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
Jackson Chourio	4.7	.802	.243	.015	.243	.337	.935	.300	.354	.530	.885
Brice Turang	4.6	.760	.191	.018	.150	.494	.979	.274	.356	.440	.796
Jake Bauers	4.5	.583	.157	.014	.246	.621	1.164	.262	.373	.505	.877
Christian Yelich	4.4	.726	.169	.012	.175	.471	.995	.280	.364	.466	.830
William Contreras	4.3	.779	.201	.007	.166	.467	.690	.306	.387	.494	.882
Garrett Mitchell	4.2	.624	.190	.027	.137	.438	1.222	.265	.351	.443	.793
Sal Frelick	4.1	.762	.185	.011	.090	.338	.515	.285	.353	.414	.767
Cooper Pratt	4.0	.634	.136	.036	.092	.352	.719	.253	.329	.389	.718
David Hamilton	3.8	.584	.129	.027	.107	.321	.858	.242	.311	.386	.697

Data notes: 20/20 lineup+starter talents from projections