Cleveland Guardians vs Minnesota Twins — Prediction & Odds

July 7, 2026 · Joey Cantillo vs Taj Bradley · 83°F

1.9% edge · Cleveland Guardians

Cleveland Guardians win

50.9%

Minnesota Twins win

49.0%

Fair line (home)

+104

Proj. total

8.37

Score distribution

How often each team scores each run total across all simulations.

Cleveland Guardians (mean 4.31)Minnesota Twins (mean 4.07)

O/U line

8.5

Proj. total

8.37

Over

44.7%

Under

55.3%

Side	Model	Book	Fair
Cleveland Guardians	50.9%	-100	-104
Minnesota Twins	49.0%	-108	+104

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
Travis Bazzana	4.8	.656	.197	.029	.107	.584	1.212	.236	.336	.373	.708
Kahlil Watson	4.7	.576	.158	.018	.164	.425	1.508	.216	.294	.377	.671
Chase DeLauter	4.6	.750	.199	.019	.164	.475	.730	.276	.354	.453	.808
Kyle Manzardo	4.5	.546	.166	.018	.205	.482	1.177	.236	.325	.442	.767
Rhys Hoskins	4.4	.516	.159	.007	.168	.566	1.234	.225	.333	.405	.738
Brayan Rocchio	4.3	.679	.183	.021	.094	.366	.728	.254	.329	.386	.715
Daniel Schneemann	4.2	.562	.161	.008	.103	.423	1.152	.224	.307	.355	.662
Patrick Bailey	4.0	.587	.136	.022	.079	.339	1.099	.223	.294	.336	.630
Steven Kwan	3.9	.733	.152	.010	.066	.421	.388	.276	.357	.382	.739

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
Austin Martin	4.6	.745	.190	.010	.050	.644	.862	.254	.367	.346	.713
Brooks Lee	4.5	.699	.158	.012	.139	.338	.842	.244	.306	.390	.696
Josh Bell	4.4	.641	.151	.008	.144	.468	.965	.243	.331	.398	.729
Royce Lewis	4.3	.589	.164	.004	.183	.405	1.029	.244	.320	.432	.752
Victor Caratini	4.2	.675	.133	.004	.109	.358	.849	.247	.328	.372	.701
Kody Clemens	4.1	.502	.155	.031	.170	.353	1.011	.233	.307	.430	.737
Ryan Kreidler	4.0	.455	.134	.018	.082	.475	1.305	.199	.302	.320	.622
Luke Keaschall	3.9	.668	.163	.017	.063	.426	.675	.271	.363	.385	.748
Kyler Fedko	3.7	.484	.129	.012	.122	.412	.998	.227	.319	.385	.704

Data notes: 20/20 lineup+starter talents from projections