Cleveland Guardians vs Minnesota Twins — Prediction & Odds

July 8, 2026 · Slade Cecconi vs Connor Prielipp · 78°F

3.4% edge · Minnesota Twins

Cleveland Guardians win

44.7%

Minnesota Twins win

55.3%

Fair line (home)

-124

Proj. total

8.18

Score distribution

How often each team scores each run total across all simulations.

Cleveland Guardians (mean 3.95)Minnesota Twins (mean 4.23)

O/U line

8.5

Proj. total

8.18

Over

43.9%

Under

56.1%

Side	Model	Book	Fair
Cleveland Guardians	44.7%	+104	+124
Minnesota Twins	55.3%	-112	-124

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
David Fry	4.8	.621	.185	.009	.132	.484	1.326	.224	.313	.366	.679
Chase DeLauter	4.7	.775	.209	.018	.137	.483	.728	.275	.354	.433	.788
Brayan Rocchio	4.5	.742	.188	.015	.081	.371	.755	.250	.326	.363	.689
Rhys Hoskins	4.5	.526	.157	.006	.159	.570	1.239	.222	.331	.391	.722
Travis Bazzana	4.3	.606	.180	.025	.080	.515	1.074	.236	.334	.361	.695
Gabriel Arias	4.2	.591	.171	.016	.112	.291	1.316	.227	.288	.365	.654
Kyle Manzardo	4.1	.502	.151	.015	.166	.444	1.081	.230	.321	.416	.737
Austin Hedges	4.0	.551	.117	.005	.079	.341	.970	.207	.281	.307	.589
Kahlil Watson	3.9	.478	.131	.015	.110	.347	1.263	.209	.288	.349	.637

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
Trevor Larnach	4.6	.711	.194	.016	.149	.448	1.010	.262	.341	.427	.768
Brooks Lee	4.5	.751	.174	.021	.153	.262	.741	.264	.313	.427	.740
Kody Clemens	4.3	.588	.184	.035	.203	.285	.980	.253	.310	.469	.778
Josh Bell	4.2	.666	.156	.006	.168	.367	.837	.261	.332	.437	.769
Royce Lewis	4.1	.589	.178	.007	.193	.303	.899	.254	.314	.457	.772
Victor Caratini	4.0	.692	.124	.006	.117	.276	.737	.256	.323	.389	.712
Luke Keaschall	3.9	.715	.179	.017	.067	.325	.616	.277	.348	.393	.741
Alan Roden	3.8	.615	.163	.018	.087	.338	.719	.259	.339	.395	.733
Ryan Kreidler	3.7	.457	.126	.018	.090	.336	1.151	.208	.289	.338	.627

Data notes: home starter Connor Prielipp: only 67 BF vs LHB this season · 20/20 lineup+starter talents from projections