Athletics vs Minnesota Twins — Prediction & Odds

July 24, 2026 · Jacob Lopez vs Zebby Matthews · 81°F

3.6% edge · Athletics

Athletics win

47.0%

Minnesota Twins win

53.0%

Fair line (home)

-113

Proj. total

9.96

Score distribution

How often each team scores each run total across all simulations.

Athletics (mean 4.90)Minnesota Twins (mean 5.06)

O/U line

9.5

Proj. total

9.96

Over

49.0%

Under

51.0%

Side	Model	Book	Fair
Athletics	47.0%	+126	+113
Minnesota Twins	53.0%	-137	-113

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
Jacob Wilson	4.8	1.034	.270	.009	.120	.226	.409	.313	.351	.455	.806
Tyler Soderstrom	4.7	.698	.232	.021	.238	.392	.886	.276	.342	.506	.848
Shea Langeliers	4.6	.660	.215	.007	.283	.304	.931	.272	.325	.524	.849
Carlos Cortes	4.5	.713	.229	.017	.167	.336	.768	.272	.331	.457	.787
Donovan Walton	4.4	.754	.181	.014	.099	.305	.729	.259	.317	.383	.700
Tommy White	4.3	.775	.198	.016	.113	.167	.681	.270	.305	.409	.714
Jeff McNeil	4.2	.749	.193	.017	.096	.271	.478	.274	.330	.408	.738
Lawrence Butler	4.1	.608	.182	.011	.162	.332	.967	.259	.321	.444	.765
Henry Bolte	4.0	.693	.172	.025	.109	.260	1.109	.274	.331	.425	.756

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
Austin Martin	4.8	.804	.209	.010	.052	.641	.823	.266	.375	.361	.736
Byron Buxton	4.6	.594	.193	.028	.319	.414	1.176	.272	.347	.562	.909
Ryan Jeffers	4.5	.666	.199	.013	.195	.556	.869	.277	.379	.485	.865
Josh Bell	4.4	.671	.155	.009	.182	.456	.875	.260	.344	.444	.787
Royce Lewis	4.3	.618	.182	.004	.217	.397	.958	.264	.337	.481	.819
Victor Caratini	4.2	.720	.132	.005	.132	.377	.759	.266	.351	.411	.762
Luke Keaschall	4.1	.724	.189	.015	.077	.472	.623	.285	.381	.412	.793
Brooks Lee	4.0	.668	.142	.015	.142	.296	.637	.265	.325	.428	.753
Ryan Kreidler	3.9	.496	.139	.024	.100	.455	1.092	.225	.325	.369	.694

Data notes: 20/20 lineup+starter talents from projections