Athletics vs Minnesota Twins — Prediction & Odds

July 26, 2026 · Jeffrey Springs vs Connor Prielipp · 98°F

0.8% edge · Athletics

Athletics win

42.3%

Minnesota Twins win

57.7%

Fair line (home)

-136

Proj. total

10.21

Score distribution

How often each team scores each run total across all simulations.

Athletics (mean 4.85)Minnesota Twins (mean 5.36)

O/U line

Proj. total

10.21

Over

44.0%

Under

48.5%

Side	Model	Book	Fair
Athletics	42.3%	+136	+136
Minnesota Twins	57.7%	-148	-136

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
Jacob Wilson	4.9	1.021	.261	.007	.118	.293	.444	.311	.359	.450	.809
Nick Kurtz	4.8	.607	.176	.015	.286	.716	1.408	.270	.385	.535	.920
Jonah Heim	4.7	.711	.176	.004	.152	.315	.885	.242	.299	.391	.689
Tyler Soderstrom	4.5	.644	.215	.017	.209	.477	.893	.270	.353	.487	.841
Tommy White	4.4	.800	.210	.018	.104	.214	.742	.271	.314	.405	.719
Colby Thomas	4.3	.611	.212	.013	.163	.256	1.231	.249	.303	.429	.732
Alika Williams	4.2	.716	.188	.020	.072	.276	.886	.256	.312	.370	.682
Jeff McNeil	4.1	.711	.181	.019	.086	.331	.501	.269	.341	.398	.739
Henry Bolte	4.0	.680	.168	.024	.103	.319	1.147	.271	.341	.416	.757

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
Austin Martin	4.7	.842	.225	.011	.063	.572	.737	.280	.376	.388	.764
Byron Buxton	4.6	.623	.210	.032	.365	.367	1.071	.295	.359	.624	.983
Ryan Jeffers	4.5	.685	.200	.012	.226	.484	.795	.287	.375	.517	.892
Royce Lewis	4.4	.667	.191	.004	.260	.359	.904	.281	.344	.527	.871
Kody Clemens	4.3	.602	.189	.036	.253	.310	.887	.276	.335	.537	.872
Luke Keaschall	4.2	.774	.199	.016	.093	.420	.589	.296	.379	.435	.814
Alex Jackson	4.0	.523	.180	.009	.189	.260	1.171	.241	.298	.446	.744
Brooks Lee	3.9	.682	.153	.015	.162	.241	.598	.276	.325	.459	.785
Ryan Kreidler	3.8	.522	.138	.025	.117	.400	1.025	.237	.324	.397	.721

Data notes: game-time temp 98F: run environment adjusted · 20/20 lineup+starter talents from projections