Atlanta Braves vs Minnesota Twins — Prediction & Odds

August 17, 2026 · Martín Pérez vs Bailey Ober · 80°F

1.4% edge · Minnesota Twins

Atlanta Braves win

52.3%

Minnesota Twins win

47.6%

Fair line (home)

+110

Proj. total

9.85

Score distribution

How often each team scores each run total across all simulations.

Atlanta Braves (mean 5.17)Minnesota Twins (mean 4.68)

O/U line

Proj. total

9.85

Over

48.3%

Under

41.7%

Side	Model	Book	Fair
Atlanta Braves	52.3%	-121	-110
Minnesota Twins	47.6%	+112	+110

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
Drake Baldwin	4.8	.789	.170	.014	.255	.363	.896	.277	.338	.493	.831
Ronald Acuña Jr.	4.7	.770	.181	.017	.244	.533	.939	.293	.380	.521	.901
Matt Olson	4.6	.629	.205	.007	.298	.443	1.046	.274	.349	.543	.892
Michael Harris II	4.5	.821	.196	.021	.240	.160	.821	.295	.324	.516	.840
Mauricio Dubón	4.4	.829	.202	.015	.108	.198	.546	.276	.312	.409	.721
Ozzie Albies	4.3	.719	.185	.011	.164	.253	.588	.269	.319	.443	.762
Mike Yastrzemski	4.2	.552	.165	.021	.179	.377	.957	.243	.317	.439	.756
Austin Riley	4.1	.622	.168	.013	.190	.263	1.064	.263	.318	.465	.783
Jim Jarvis	4.0	.666	.162	.020	.055	.259	.720	.245	.301	.345	.646

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
Luke Keaschall	4.7	.841	.207	.016	.080	.466	.676	.278	.362	.394	.756
Byron Buxton	4.5	.597	.205	.032	.280	.347	1.103	.269	.333	.537	.870
Ryan Jeffers	4.4	.663	.199	.011	.173	.473	.821	.270	.360	.461	.820
Josh Bell	4.3	.681	.160	.009	.152	.391	.808	.257	.331	.420	.751
Royce Lewis	4.2	.621	.177	.004	.193	.336	.893	.258	.322	.456	.778
Kody Clemens	4.1	.544	.168	.030	.185	.292	.887	.245	.306	.453	.759
Brooks Lee	4.0	.678	.151	.015	.130	.249	.631	.261	.312	.414	.727
Kaelen Culpepper	3.9	.634	.142	.015	.118	.319	.761	.257	.327	.407	.733
Alan Roden	3.8	.609	.160	.014	.091	.368	.689	.261	.345	.399	.743

Data notes: 20/20 lineup+starter talents from projections