Detroit Tigers vs Minnesota Twins — Prediction & Odds

September 2, 2026 · Drew Anderson vs Dean Kremer · 87°F

1.8% edge · Detroit Tigers

Detroit Tigers win

49.9%

Minnesota Twins win

50.1%

Fair line (home)

-100

Proj. total

9.08

Score distribution

How often each team scores each run total across all simulations.

Detroit Tigers (mean 4.69)Minnesota Twins (mean 4.40)

Totals

O/U line

8.5

Proj. total

9.08

Over

51.1%

Under

48.9%

Model vs. market

Side	Model	Book	Fair
Detroit Tigers	49.9%	+104	+100
Minnesota Twins	50.1%	-112	-100

Projected starters

Starter	IP	K	H	BB	R
Drew Anderson RHP · Detroit Tigers	2.2	2.0	2.2	0.9	0.9
Dean Kremer RHP · Minnesota Twins	4.9	4.3	5.4	1.5	2.5

Strikeout ladder

Drew Anderson4+ 13%6+ 1%8+ 0%

Dean Kremer4+ 63%6+ 25%8+ 6%

Per-game averages across all simulations. IP is a decimal average of outs recorded, not baseball's 5.2 notation. R is runs allowed while the starter was still in the game; the simulation models no errors, so every run is earned by construction — which is why this says R and not ER.

Detroit Tigers — projected lines

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
Kevin McGonigle	4.8	.812	.211	.030	.157	.548	.668	.285	.370	.460	.830
Hao-Yu Lee	4.7	.771	.191	.029	.150	.295	.984	.261	.313	.421	.734
Colt Keith	4.6	.792	.195	.037	.156	.348	.847	.279	.337	.454	.791
Riley Greene	4.5	.680	.207	.015	.202	.443	1.171	.275	.351	.484	.835
Eduardo Valencia	4.4	.693	.180	.010	.220	.256	.949	.270	.319	.480	.799
Brett Callahan	4.3	.670	.148	.038	.112	.244	1.049	.243	.294	.384	.678
Max Clark	4.2	.675	.155	.041	.115	.361	.790	.261	.330	.415	.745
John Peck	4.0	.682	.175	.019	.102	.167	1.027	.253	.289	.388	.677
Zach McKinstry	3.9	.600	.146	.047	.082	.337	.722	.245	.316	.381	.697

Minnesota Twins — projected lines

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
Luke Keaschall	4.6	.807	.206	.013	.087	.491	.750	.276	.368	.397	.765
Brooks Lee	4.5	.717	.168	.021	.141	.324	.752	.251	.311	.404	.714
Kody Clemens	4.4	.563	.164	.040	.192	.320	1.004	.237	.300	.440	.741
Ryan Jeffers	4.3	.619	.181	.011	.153	.507	.823	.259	.359	.437	.796
Josh Bell	4.2	.617	.146	.009	.145	.427	.819	.245	.329	.406	.734
Trevor Larnach	4.1	.618	.159	.011	.124	.472	.851	.254	.346	.408	.753
Royce Lewis	4.0	.564	.172	.007	.173	.340	.898	.253	.322	.448	.770
Kaelen Culpepper	3.9	.607	.142	.018	.117	.292	.819	.251	.318	.401	.719
Walker Jenkins	3.8	.590	.160	.026	.087	.348	.757	.257	.334	.397	.731

Data notes: game-time temp 87F: run environment adjusted · 20/20 lineup+starter talents from projections