Los Angeles Dodgers vs New York Mets — Prediction & Odds

July 24, 2026 · Roki Sasaki vs Sean Manaea · 79°F

4.4% edge · New York Mets

Los Angeles Dodgers win

50.6%

New York Mets win

49.4%

Fair line (home)

+103

Proj. total

9.83

Score distribution

How often each team scores each run total across all simulations.

Los Angeles Dodgers (mean 5.03)New York Mets (mean 4.80)

O/U line

Proj. total

9.83

Over

48.1%

Under

42.1%

Side	Model	Book	Fair
Los Angeles Dodgers	50.6%	-128	-103
New York Mets	49.4%	+118	+103

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
Shohei Ohtani	4.9	.584	.161	.039	.321	.715	1.201	.267	.380	.558	.939
Andy Pages	4.8	.680	.204	.012	.210	.333	1.020	.253	.315	.449	.765
Tommy Edman	4.7	.706	.165	.021	.130	.311	.941	.239	.301	.378	.679
Freddie Freeman	4.5	.706	.213	.014	.170	.516	.844	.278	.370	.468	.838
Mookie Betts	4.4	.651	.184	.017	.171	.504	.554	.262	.351	.449	.800
Miguel Rojas	4.3	.735	.181	.004	.093	.307	.591	.254	.313	.371	.684
Kyle Tucker	4.2	.558	.158	.017	.183	.599	.732	.255	.366	.461	.827
Teoscar Hernández	4.1	.577	.147	.007	.186	.304	1.137	.243	.306	.433	.740
Dalton Rushing	4.0	.493	.139	.008	.159	.416	1.106	.226	.319	.405	.724

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
A.J. Ewing	4.7	.749	.177	.023	.089	.510	1.180	.250	.337	.368	.705
Juan Soto	4.6	.565	.137	.016	.284	.966	.800	.279	.435	.564	.999
Bo Bichette	4.5	.805	.192	.015	.147	.337	.806	.282	.342	.444	.786
Francisco Lindor	4.4	.621	.142	.024	.173	.442	.862	.250	.342	.435	.777
Carson Benge	4.3	.657	.147	.024	.132	.406	.969	.253	.334	.408	.741
Luis Robert Jr.	4.2	.546	.147	.005	.166	.380	1.202	.231	.310	.407	.717
Jared Young	4.0	.524	.153	.011	.167	.416	.987	.240	.332	.430	.762
Marcus Semien	3.9	.550	.124	.013	.135	.401	.777	.234	.318	.393	.711
Francisco Alvarez	3.8	.482	.116	.008	.182	.386	1.035	.233	.321	.433	.754

Data notes: 20/20 lineup+starter talents from projections