Los Angeles Dodgers vs New York Mets — Prediction & Odds

July 26, 2026 · Emmet Sheehan vs Freddy Peralta · 80°F

0.0% edge · New York Mets

Los Angeles Dodgers win

59.0%

New York Mets win

41.0%

Fair line (home)

+144

Proj. total

9.04

Score distribution

How often each team scores each run total across all simulations.

Los Angeles Dodgers (mean 5.05)New York Mets (mean 3.99)

O/U line

Proj. total

9.04

Over

40.9%

Under

49.4%

Side	Model	Book	Fair
Los Angeles Dodgers	59.0%	-151	-144
New York Mets	41.0%	+139	+144

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
Shohei Ohtani	4.9	.586	.161	.041	.316	.746	1.246	.269	.386	.559	.945
Andy Pages	4.8	.679	.203	.012	.215	.346	1.046	.253	.317	.453	.770
Freddie Freeman	4.7	.710	.210	.011	.185	.546	.898	.275	.369	.469	.838
Max Muncy	4.6	.488	.132	.012	.226	.692	1.175	.225	.351	.443	.794
Mookie Betts	4.5	.646	.185	.016	.185	.511	.586	.263	.352	.460	.812
Tommy Edman	4.4	.653	.135	.028	.120	.324	.907	.235	.300	.372	.673
Kyle Tucker	4.2	.560	.154	.020	.175	.600	.781	.252	.362	.451	.813
Teoscar Hernández	4.1	.566	.149	.007	.190	.321	1.181	.242	.307	.436	.743
Eliezer Alfonzo	4.0	.626	.138	.004	.060	.269	.606	.223	.281	.311	.592

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
A.J. Ewing	4.6	.673	.160	.022	.090	.480	1.249	.234	.320	.352	.671
Francisco Lindor	4.4	.585	.140	.018	.197	.445	.967	.241	.331	.437	.769
Bo Bichette	4.3	.725	.174	.011	.163	.307	.878	.269	.325	.440	.765
Carson Benge	4.2	.614	.136	.020	.138	.386	1.050	.239	.318	.395	.713
Jorge Polanco	4.1	.504	.130	.003	.189	.463	1.017	.228	.321	.422	.743
Jared Young	4.0	.486	.136	.009	.174	.399	1.098	.226	.314	.415	.729
Tyrone Taylor	3.9	.494	.155	.018	.129	.216	1.035	.218	.272	.376	.648
Brett Baty	3.8	.509	.109	.009	.133	.358	1.117	.223	.302	.377	.680
Luis Torrens	3.7	.487	.138	.005	.102	.265	.949	.218	.284	.354	.637

Data notes: 20/20 lineup+starter talents from projections