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4.1% edge · Los Angeles DodgersLos Angeles Dodgers vs New York Yankees — Prediction & Odds
July 17, 2026 · Roki Sasaki vs Gerrit Cole · 89°F
Los Angeles Dodgers win
55.5%
New York Yankees win
44.5%
Fair line (home)
+125
Proj. total
10.77
Score distribution
How often each team scores each run total across all simulations.
Los Angeles Dodgers (mean 5.79)New York Yankees (mean 4.98)
Totals
O/U line
9
Proj. total
10.77
Over
55.5%
Under
34.8%
Model vs. market
| Side | Model | Book | Fair |
|---|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles Dodgers | 55.5% | -110 | -125 |
| New York Yankees | 44.5% | +102 | +125 |
Los Angeles Dodgers — projected lines
| Batter | PA | 1B | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | K | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shohei Ohtani | 4.9 | .612 | .172 | .041 | .410 | .631 | 1.190 | .290 | .386 | .638 | 1.024 |
| Andy Pages | 4.8 | .710 | .210 | .011 | .261 | .284 | 1.007 | .267 | .319 | .494 | .813 |
| Freddie Freeman | 4.7 | .748 | .218 | .013 | .229 | .470 | .854 | .290 | .369 | .513 | .881 |
| Mookie Betts | 4.6 | .714 | .195 | .018 | .231 | .429 | .553 | .281 | .352 | .505 | .857 |
| Max Muncy | 4.5 | .505 | .135 | .013 | .283 | .566 | 1.105 | .242 | .346 | .504 | .850 |
| Kyle Tucker | 4.4 | .599 | .162 | .018 | .227 | .533 | .768 | .264 | .358 | .494 | .853 |
| Teoscar Hernández | 4.3 | .594 | .162 | .007 | .248 | .274 | 1.163 | .255 | .309 | .487 | .796 |
| Dalton Rushing | 4.2 | .524 | .146 | .006 | .210 | .363 | 1.127 | .237 | .314 | .448 | .762 |
| Tommy Edman | 4.0 | .626 | .147 | .025 | .135 | .246 | .822 | .249 | .303 | .410 | .713 |
New York Yankees — projected lines
| Batter | PA | 1B | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | K | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trent Grisham | 4.7 | .528 | .151 | .015 | .248 | .670 | 1.094 | .237 | .353 | .469 | .822 |
| Ben Rice | 4.6 | .530 | .154 | .020 | .322 | .551 | 1.044 | .259 | .358 | .552 | .910 |
| Paul Goldschmidt | 4.5 | .670 | .171 | .011 | .195 | .408 | 1.067 | .261 | .335 | .454 | .789 |
| Cody Bellinger | 4.4 | .643 | .152 | .024 | .228 | .454 | .702 | .270 | .351 | .498 | .849 |
| Jasson Domínguez | 4.3 | .635 | .146 | .008 | .167 | .420 | 1.026 | .252 | .333 | .427 | .760 |
| Jazz Chisholm Jr. | 4.2 | .519 | .117 | .015 | .226 | .463 | 1.164 | .241 | .332 | .467 | .800 |
| José Caballero | 4.0 | .558 | .141 | .007 | .113 | .409 | 1.045 | .230 | .323 | .369 | .693 |
| Ryan McMahon | 3.9 | .447 | .124 | .004 | .182 | .479 | 1.284 | .221 | .321 | .418 | .738 |
| Austin Wells | 3.8 | .420 | .127 | .006 | .189 | .401 | 1.010 | .220 | .311 | .430 | .741 |
Data notes: home starter Gerrit Cole: only 74 BF vs RHB this season · game-time temp 89F: run environment adjusted · 20/20 lineup+starter talents from projections