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Los Angeles Dodgers vs New York Yankees — Prediction & Odds

July 19, 2026 · Yoshinobu Yamamoto vs Cam Schlittler · 80°F
6.3% edge · Los Angeles Dodgers
Los Angeles Dodgers win
58.9%
New York Yankees win
41.1%
Fair line (home)
+143
Proj. total
9.25

Score distribution

How often each team scores each run total across all simulations.

0%7%15%03691215182124Runs scored
Los Angeles Dodgers (mean 5.18)New York Yankees (mean 4.07)

Totals

O/U line
7.5
Proj. total
9.25
Over
60.8%
Under
39.2%

Model vs. market

SideModelBookFair
Los Angeles Dodgers58.9%-116-143
New York Yankees41.1%+107+143

Los Angeles Dodgers — projected lines

BatterPA1B2B3BHRBBKAVGOBPSLGOPS
Shohei Ohtani4.9.586.157.038.338.6721.274.268.375.567.942
Andy Pages4.8.680.204.011.223.3061.078.254.311.457.768
Freddie Freeman4.6.710.212.016.181.490.918.273.359.465.824
Mookie Betts4.5.669.184.017.198.466.624.264.344.465.809
Max Muncy4.4.479.131.013.233.6131.169.228.343.455.798
Kyle Tucker4.3.592.157.020.203.564.818.260.361.476.838
Teoscar Hernández4.2.569.158.008.200.2951.217.240.299.438.737
Dalton Rushing4.1.499.136.006.175.3811.209.222.304.404.709
Tommy Edman4.0.607.131.023.113.268.841.238.298.378.676

New York Yankees — projected lines

BatterPA1B2B3BHRBBKAVGOBPSLGOPS
Trent Grisham4.5.540.152.015.198.5821.121.230.334.427.761
Ben Rice4.5.525.153.018.263.4661.107.244.331.492.824
Jasson Domínguez4.3.667.149.007.161.3631.135.250.318.413.731
Cody Bellinger4.2.648.147.025.178.390.732.261.333.452.785
Max Schuemann4.1.561.136.012.077.4451.103.216.312.324.636
Jazz Chisholm Jr.4.0.513.112.016.191.3881.197.230.309.428.737
Anthony Volpe3.9.507.155.022.117.3031.045.223.287.375.663
Ryan McMahon3.8.447.118.005.147.3911.299.212.297.379.677
Ali Sánchez3.7.528.111.005.088.2581.035.216.276.329.605
Data notes: 20/20 lineup+starter talents from projections