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6.3% edge · Los Angeles DodgersLos Angeles Dodgers vs New York Yankees — Prediction & Odds
July 19, 2026 · Yoshinobu Yamamoto vs Cam Schlittler · 80°F
Los Angeles Dodgers win
58.9%
New York Yankees win
41.1%
Fair line (home)
+143
Proj. total
9.25
Score distribution
How often each team scores each run total across all simulations.
Los Angeles Dodgers (mean 5.18)New York Yankees (mean 4.07)
Totals
O/U line
7.5
Proj. total
9.25
Over
60.8%
Under
39.2%
Model vs. market
| Side | Model | Book | Fair |
|---|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles Dodgers | 58.9% | -116 | -143 |
| New York Yankees | 41.1% | +107 | +143 |
Los Angeles Dodgers — projected lines
| Batter | PA | 1B | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | K | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shohei Ohtani | 4.9 | .586 | .157 | .038 | .338 | .672 | 1.274 | .268 | .375 | .567 | .942 |
| Andy Pages | 4.8 | .680 | .204 | .011 | .223 | .306 | 1.078 | .254 | .311 | .457 | .768 |
| Freddie Freeman | 4.6 | .710 | .212 | .016 | .181 | .490 | .918 | .273 | .359 | .465 | .824 |
| Mookie Betts | 4.5 | .669 | .184 | .017 | .198 | .466 | .624 | .264 | .344 | .465 | .809 |
| Max Muncy | 4.4 | .479 | .131 | .013 | .233 | .613 | 1.169 | .228 | .343 | .455 | .798 |
| Kyle Tucker | 4.3 | .592 | .157 | .020 | .203 | .564 | .818 | .260 | .361 | .476 | .838 |
| Teoscar Hernández | 4.2 | .569 | .158 | .008 | .200 | .295 | 1.217 | .240 | .299 | .438 | .737 |
| Dalton Rushing | 4.1 | .499 | .136 | .006 | .175 | .381 | 1.209 | .222 | .304 | .404 | .709 |
| Tommy Edman | 4.0 | .607 | .131 | .023 | .113 | .268 | .841 | .238 | .298 | .378 | .676 |
New York Yankees — projected lines
| Batter | PA | 1B | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | K | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trent Grisham | 4.5 | .540 | .152 | .015 | .198 | .582 | 1.121 | .230 | .334 | .427 | .761 |
| Ben Rice | 4.5 | .525 | .153 | .018 | .263 | .466 | 1.107 | .244 | .331 | .492 | .824 |
| Jasson Domínguez | 4.3 | .667 | .149 | .007 | .161 | .363 | 1.135 | .250 | .318 | .413 | .731 |
| Cody Bellinger | 4.2 | .648 | .147 | .025 | .178 | .390 | .732 | .261 | .333 | .452 | .785 |
| Max Schuemann | 4.1 | .561 | .136 | .012 | .077 | .445 | 1.103 | .216 | .312 | .324 | .636 |
| Jazz Chisholm Jr. | 4.0 | .513 | .112 | .016 | .191 | .388 | 1.197 | .230 | .309 | .428 | .737 |
| Anthony Volpe | 3.9 | .507 | .155 | .022 | .117 | .303 | 1.045 | .223 | .287 | .375 | .663 |
| Ryan McMahon | 3.8 | .447 | .118 | .005 | .147 | .391 | 1.299 | .212 | .297 | .379 | .677 |
| Ali Sánchez | 3.7 | .528 | .111 | .005 | .088 | .258 | 1.035 | .216 | .276 | .329 | .605 |
Data notes: 20/20 lineup+starter talents from projections