Los Angeles Dodgers vs New York Yankees — Prediction & Odds

July 19, 2026 · Will Klein vs Ryan Yarbrough · 80°F

1.4% edge · Los Angeles Dodgers

Los Angeles Dodgers win

55.2%

New York Yankees win

44.8%

Fair line (home)

+123

Proj. total

9.71

Score distribution

How often each team scores each run total across all simulations.

Los Angeles Dodgers (mean 5.20)New York Yankees (mean 4.52)

O/U line

Proj. total

9.71

Over

46.6%

Under

43.2%

Side	Model	Book	Fair
Los Angeles Dodgers	55.2%	-122	-123
New York Yankees	44.8%	+112	+123

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
Shohei Ohtani	4.9	.615	.169	.039	.346	.690	1.146	.281	.388	.590	.978
Andy Pages	4.8	.687	.204	.011	.219	.323	.972	.255	.316	.456	.772
Freddie Freeman	4.7	.728	.218	.015	.194	.516	.825	.281	.370	.483	.853
Mookie Betts	4.6	.686	.190	.017	.193	.485	.552	.268	.352	.467	.818
Kyle Tucker	4.5	.609	.167	.021	.211	.584	.745	.262	.364	.482	.846
Miguel Rojas	4.3	.745	.191	.005	.097	.293	.568	.258	.314	.380	.695
Teoscar Hernández	4.2	.587	.161	.008	.212	.306	1.117	.248	.309	.457	.766
Max Muncy	4.1	.448	.123	.012	.213	.589	.985	.228	.348	.453	.801
Eliezer Alfonzo	4.0	.629	.136	.004	.063	.248	.548	.222	.277	.311	.589

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
Trent Grisham	4.7	.484	.131	.016	.207	.741	1.165	.216	.347	.419	.765
Ben Rice	4.5	.480	.143	.019	.283	.624	1.127	.239	.353	.505	.858
Paul Goldschmidt	4.4	.623	.162	.011	.169	.459	1.134	.245	.329	.420	.749
Cody Bellinger	4.3	.602	.150	.025	.184	.516	.758	.254	.348	.453	.801
Jasson Domínguez	4.2	.594	.138	.007	.147	.467	1.104	.239	.328	.399	.727
Jazz Chisholm Jr.	4.1	.484	.108	.012	.199	.496	1.236	.224	.324	.428	.751
Anthony Volpe	4.0	.480	.147	.023	.127	.413	1.048	.218	.304	.378	.682
Austin Wells	3.9	.413	.118	.007	.169	.460	1.106	.208	.309	.396	.705
José Caballero	3.8	.485	.124	.006	.090	.421	1.038	.215	.318	.340	.657

Data notes: home starter Ryan Yarbrough: only 64 BF vs LHB this season · 20/20 lineup+starter talents from projections