St. Louis Cardinals vs New York Yankees — Prediction & Odds

August 3, 2026 · Michael McGreevy vs Cam Schlittler · 76°F

8.9% edge · St. Louis Cardinals

St. Louis Cardinals win

42.8%

New York Yankees win

57.2%

Fair line (home)

-134

Proj. total

9.26

Score distribution

How often each team scores each run total across all simulations.

St. Louis Cardinals (mean 4.40)New York Yankees (mean 4.86)

O/U line

Proj. total

9.26

Over

53.0%

Under

39.2%

Side	Model	Book	Fair
St. Louis Cardinals	42.8%	+189	+134
New York Yankees	57.2%	-208	-134

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
JJ Wetherholt	4.8	.747	.164	.006	.166	.441	.877	.255	.339	.413	.752
Jordan Walker	4.7	.671	.189	.009	.206	.344	1.304	.250	.311	.442	.754
Alec Burleson	4.6	.744	.176	.011	.207	.345	.741	.271	.332	.467	.799
Iván Herrera	4.5	.683	.157	.011	.158	.482	.897	.261	.360	.430	.790
Lars Nootbaar	4.4	.585	.157	.013	.146	.533	.965	.237	.335	.400	.735
Masyn Winn	4.3	.671	.171	.017	.107	.316	.843	.247	.311	.382	.694
Nathan Church	4.2	.672	.143	.016	.104	.245	.798	.242	.295	.368	.662
José Fermín	4.0	.595	.162	.006	.091	.411	.601	.239	.327	.365	.692
Jimmy Crooks	3.9	.512	.124	.009	.124	.304	1.216	.216	.286	.360	.646

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
Trent Grisham	4.6	.649	.180	.020	.212	.531	.805	.262	.352	.474	.826
Ben Rice	4.5	.645	.184	.025	.277	.425	.788	.280	.355	.544	.900
Luis García Jr.	4.4	.863	.219	.027	.188	.199	.498	.310	.343	.510	.853
Spencer Jones	4.3	.619	.178	.010	.187	.306	1.369	.251	.310	.443	.752
Jasson Domínguez	4.2	.745	.176	.008	.137	.320	.782	.278	.338	.435	.773
Jazz Chisholm Jr.	4.1	.646	.142	.017	.196	.348	.888	.270	.337	.477	.814
Ryan McMahon	4.0	.565	.147	.005	.159	.388	1.045	.246	.323	.424	.747
José Caballero	3.9	.659	.156	.006	.087	.295	.762	.260	.328	.383	.711
Austin Wells	3.7	.505	.148	.008	.162	.309	.785	.243	.312	.435	.747

Data notes: 20/20 lineup+starter talents from projections