St. Louis Cardinals vs New York Yankees — Prediction & Odds

August 5, 2026 · Andre Pallante vs Will Warren · 81°F

3.2% edge · St. Louis Cardinals

St. Louis Cardinals win

43.6%

New York Yankees win

56.4%

Fair line (home)

-129

Proj. total

9.6

Score distribution

How often each team scores each run total across all simulations.

St. Louis Cardinals (mean 4.59)New York Yankees (mean 5.01)

O/U line

8.5

Proj. total

9.6

Over

56.2%

Under

43.8%

Side	Model	Book	Fair
St. Louis Cardinals	43.6%	+142	+129
New York Yankees	56.4%	-155	-129

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
JJ Wetherholt	4.8	.782	.176	.007	.182	.480	.808	.269	.355	.442	.797
Iván Herrera	4.7	.740	.166	.012	.174	.532	.866	.268	.369	.443	.812
Alec Burleson	4.6	.777	.188	.009	.230	.353	.685	.285	.345	.496	.841
José Fermín	4.5	.687	.194	.006	.113	.463	.605	.251	.338	.388	.726
Nathan Church	4.4	.724	.154	.019	.123	.275	.767	.250	.304	.388	.692
Blaze Jordan	4.3	.683	.192	.015	.137	.246	.595	.256	.303	.413	.717
Bryan Torres	4.2	.730	.155	.018	.072	.449	.775	.264	.347	.374	.721
Jimmy Crooks	4.1	.557	.131	.009	.143	.314	1.192	.227	.295	.383	.678
César Prieto	4.0	.667	.176	.013	.089	.209	.623	.255	.302	.382	.684

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
Trent Grisham	4.7	.650	.181	.021	.196	.671	.829	.263	.373	.466	.839
Ben Rice	4.6	.658	.183	.024	.255	.533	.798	.280	.373	.529	.902
Luis García Jr.	4.5	.885	.226	.030	.171	.246	.515	.311	.351	.500	.851
Heliot Ramos	4.4	.803	.186	.029	.144	.355	.852	.294	.359	.464	.824
Spencer Jones	4.3	.606	.176	.009	.165	.374	1.358	.248	.320	.428	.748
Jazz Chisholm Jr.	4.2	.634	.142	.018	.183	.437	.903	.265	.347	.462	.810
Ryan McMahon	4.0	.576	.155	.005	.143	.488	1.056	.249	.344	.416	.760
George Lombard Jr.	3.9	.567	.175	.010	.060	.435	.910	.235	.329	.344	.673
Austin Wells	3.8	.517	.156	.007	.145	.381	.794	.243	.325	.421	.746

Data notes: 20/20 lineup+starter talents from projections