Atlanta Braves vs New York Yankees — Prediction & Odds

August 8, 2026 · Chris Sale vs Gerrit Cole · 87°F

1.4% edge · Atlanta Braves

Atlanta Braves win

58.9%

New York Yankees win

41.1%

Fair line (home)

+143

Proj. total

8.91

Score distribution

How often each team scores each run total across all simulations.

Atlanta Braves (mean 5.02)New York Yankees (mean 3.89)

O/U line

7.5

Proj. total

8.91

Over

57.6%

Under

42.4%

Side	Model	Book	Fair
Atlanta Braves	58.9%	-142	-143
New York Yankees	41.1%	+131	+143

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
Drake Baldwin	4.8	.721	.149	.011	.264	.395	.958	.262	.329	.481	.810
Ronald Acuña Jr.	4.7	.709	.161	.017	.253	.574	1.010	.279	.374	.512	.886
Matt Olson	4.6	.581	.193	.007	.317	.478	1.122	.268	.349	.551	.901
Michael Harris II	4.5	.753	.197	.021	.249	.172	.887	.284	.315	.513	.828
Ozzie Albies	4.4	.669	.176	.009	.189	.285	.663	.257	.312	.445	.757
Mauricio Dubón	4.3	.750	.184	.011	.111	.215	.594	.261	.302	.394	.697
Mike Yastrzemski	4.2	.512	.152	.019	.190	.409	1.001	.234	.316	.438	.754
Austin Riley	4.0	.561	.154	.012	.204	.283	1.127	.250	.310	.462	.772
Jim Jarvis	3.9	.614	.152	.018	.056	.273	.757	.231	.291	.330	.621

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
Paul Goldschmidt	4.5	.684	.173	.010	.179	.314	1.221	.252	.311	.428	.739
Heliot Ramos	4.4	.662	.158	.026	.173	.276	1.291	.252	.311	.432	.743
Ben Rice	4.3	.503	.147	.018	.267	.397	1.137	.244	.324	.500	.824
Amed Rosario	4.2	.742	.164	.023	.112	.169	1.001	.261	.298	.397	.695
Trent Grisham	4.1	.477	.133	.013	.181	.464	1.083	.224	.319	.419	.738
George Lombard Jr.	4.0	.474	.148	.008	.065	.374	1.306	.195	.281	.296	.577
Spencer Jones	3.9	.446	.130	.005	.169	.257	1.659	.209	.268	.389	.658
José Caballero	3.8	.525	.136	.005	.090	.274	1.086	.223	.297	.346	.643
Austin Wells	3.6	.410	.125	.006	.166	.288	1.091	.214	.284	.405	.689

Data notes: game-time temp 87F: run environment adjusted · 20/20 lineup+starter talents from projections