Colorado Rockies vs New York Yankees — Prediction & Odds

September 8, 2026 · Gabriel Hughes vs Cam Schlittler · 79°F

2.6% edge · Colorado Rockies

Colorado Rockies win

28.5%

New York Yankees win

71.5%

Fair line (home)

-251

Proj. total

10.63

Score distribution

How often each team scores each run total across all simulations.

Colorado Rockies (mean 4.19)New York Yankees (mean 6.44)

Totals

O/U line

7.5

Proj. total

10.63

Over

71.8%

Under

28.2%

Model vs. market

Side	Model	Book	Fair
Colorado Rockies	28.5%	+278	+251
New York Yankees	71.5%	-316	-251

Projected starters

Starter	IP	K	H	BB	R
Gabriel Hughes RHP · Colorado Rockies	4.4	4.0	5.7	2.1	3.3
Cam Schlittler RHP · New York Yankees	5.5	5.9	5.1	1.6	2.3

Strikeout ladder

Gabriel Hughes4+ 57%6+ 21%8+ 4%

Cam Schlittler4+ 85%6+ 54%8+ 23%

Per-game averages across all simulations. IP is a decimal average of outs recorded, not baseball's 5.2 notation. R is runs allowed while the starter was still in the game; the simulation models no errors, so every run is earned by construction — which is why this says R and not ER.

Colorado Rockies — projected lines

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
Jake McCarthy	4.7	.787	.171	.060	.118	.277	.886	.261	.316	.409	.725
Cole Carrigg	4.6	.688	.174	.050	.120	.309	1.106	.245	.305	.395	.700
TJ Rumfield	4.5	.696	.181	.012	.134	.419	.855	.257	.336	.409	.744
Hunter Goodman	4.4	.500	.157	.018	.266	.275	1.380	.232	.287	.477	.764
Mickey Moniak	4.3	.577	.148	.042	.204	.213	1.145	.242	.286	.453	.739
Kyle Karros	4.1	.643	.179	.019	.107	.393	.998	.256	.335	.401	.736
Adael Amador	4.0	.573	.142	.017	.103	.372	.762	.229	.307	.363	.669
Zac Veen	3.9	.527	.153	.032	.153	.270	1.059	.238	.296	.424	.720
Ezequiel Tovar	3.8	.547	.167	.013	.119	.198	1.027	.235	.279	.388	.666

New York Yankees — projected lines

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
Ben Rice	4.8	.681	.205	.026	.328	.536	.854	.296	.382	.592	.974
Cody Bellinger	4.7	.866	.212	.030	.218	.440	.557	.315	.383	.535	.918
Aaron Judge	4.6	.680	.192	.009	.385	.792	.928	.340	.461	.707	1.168
Luis García Jr.	4.5	.824	.229	.030	.268	.246	.561	.322	.362	.583	.945
Spencer Jones	4.3	.658	.204	.015	.267	.354	1.291	.289	.353	.551	.903
Jazz Chisholm Jr.	4.2	.656	.155	.021	.237	.446	.936	.285	.366	.527	.894
George Lombard Jr.	4.1	.669	.205	.023	.110	.426	.884	.275	.358	.434	.792
Ryan McMahon	4.0	.588	.164	.005	.186	.458	1.016	.266	.355	.473	.828
Austin Wells	3.9	.549	.172	.006	.190	.365	.808	.262	.339	.478	.816

Data notes: 20/20 lineup+starter talents from projections