Los Angeles Dodgers vs Philadelphia Phillies — Prediction & Odds

July 21, 2026 · Justin Wrobleski vs Zack Wheeler · 79°F

0.3% edge · Philadelphia Phillies

Los Angeles Dodgers win

47.5%

Philadelphia Phillies win

52.5%

Fair line (home)

-110

Proj. total

9.61

Score distribution

How often each team scores each run total across all simulations.

Los Angeles Dodgers (mean 4.80)Philadelphia Phillies (mean 4.81)

O/U line

Proj. total

9.61

Over

44.8%

Under

44.6%

Side	Model	Book	Fair
Los Angeles Dodgers	47.5%	+105	+110
Philadelphia Phillies	52.5%	-114	-110

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
Shohei Ohtani	4.8	.621	.171	.042	.286	.592	1.343	.265	.361	.529	.889
Andy Pages	4.7	.724	.209	.013	.192	.272	1.142	.258	.311	.443	.754
Freddie Freeman	4.6	.774	.224	.015	.163	.432	.977	.284	.360	.464	.824
Max Muncy	4.5	.534	.142	.015	.210	.562	1.234	.231	.336	.437	.773
Mookie Betts	4.4	.704	.202	.019	.165	.401	.636	.274	.345	.458	.803
Kyle Tucker	4.3	.617	.173	.023	.171	.512	.871	.261	.354	.455	.809
Tommy Edman	4.2	.668	.152	.025	.103	.247	.953	.243	.295	.374	.669
Alex Call	4.1	.608	.155	.012	.081	.421	.895	.237	.326	.354	.680
Eliezer Alfonzo	4.0	.680	.154	.004	.059	.222	.629	.240	.289	.331	.620

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
Trea Turner	4.6	.844	.193	.022	.151	.310	.857	.281	.335	.442	.777
Kyle Schwarber	4.5	.462	.113	.010	.348	.694	1.265	.247	.370	.558	.928
Bryce Harper	4.4	.607	.202	.014	.254	.599	.880	.284	.386	.546	.932
Alec Bohm	4.3	.744	.180	.013	.143	.297	.628	.272	.330	.432	.763
Edmundo Sosa	4.2	.686	.166	.028	.147	.180	.878	.260	.304	.428	.731
J.T. Realmuto	4.1	.621	.167	.016	.134	.290	.900	.250	.313	.409	.723
Brandon Marsh	4.0	.643	.167	.023	.143	.371	1.026	.272	.344	.450	.794
Derek Hill	3.9	.586	.139	.014	.126	.256	1.117	.241	.299	.393	.692
Bryson Stott	3.8	.614	.140	.027	.103	.342	.604	.260	.332	.409	.741

Data notes: 20/20 lineup+starter talents from projections