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Los Angeles Dodgers vs Philadelphia Phillies — Prediction & Odds

July 20, 2026 · Emmet Sheehan vs Cristopher Sánchez · 83°F
5.8% edge · Los Angeles Dodgers
Los Angeles Dodgers win
48.8%
Philadelphia Phillies win
51.2%
Fair line (home)
-105
Proj. total
9.21

Score distribution

How often each team scores each run total across all simulations.

0%7%14%036912151821Runs scored
Los Angeles Dodgers (mean 4.64)Philadelphia Phillies (mean 4.57)

Totals

O/U line
8.5
Proj. total
9.21
Over
51.8%
Under
48.2%

Model vs. market

SideModelBookFair
Los Angeles Dodgers48.8%+128+105
Philadelphia Phillies51.2%-139-105

Los Angeles Dodgers — projected lines

BatterPA1B2B3BHRBBKAVGOBPSLGOPS
Shohei Ohtani4.8.680.191.047.248.5651.252.275.364.518.883
Andy Pages4.7.777.229.014.161.2521.047.267.314.434.748
Tommy Edman4.6.798.182.021.094.232.945.253.299.371.670
Freddie Freeman4.5.807.234.014.133.397.867.293.362.456.819
Mookie Betts4.4.740.214.022.139.377.597.279.344.447.791
Miguel Rojas4.3.822.206.006.075.232.600.275.320.385.704
Teoscar Hernández4.2.653.182.008.157.2511.192.257.306.429.735
Alex Call4.1.627.165.014.073.403.842.243.327.357.684
Dalton Rushing4.0.552.158.006.133.3011.151.235.302.392.695

Philadelphia Phillies — projected lines

BatterPA1B2B3BHRBBKAVGOBPSLGOPS
Trea Turner4.6.748.176.018.162.3291.061.260.319.424.743
Kyle Schwarber4.5.385.096.010.356.7041.502.226.355.542.897
Bryce Harper4.4.552.185.011.251.6291.077.267.377.524.901
Alec Bohm4.3.690.167.012.148.337.798.260.327.422.749
Brandon Marsh4.2.628.160.022.157.3911.309.256.330.434.764
Bryson Stott4.1.623.137.025.119.396.811.247.325.395.720
J.T. Realmuto4.0.532.141.011.141.3011.063.228.299.390.689
Gabriel Rincones Jr.3.9.448.124.007.144.4081.175.212.305.380.685
Justin Crawford3.7.652.133.022.059.289.925.254.316.358.674
Data notes: 20/20 lineup+starter talents from projections