Toronto Blue Jays vs San Francisco Giants — Prediction & Odds

July 7, 2026 · Spencer Miles vs Trevor McDonald · 58°F

1.3% edge · San Francisco Giants

Toronto Blue Jays win

50.6%

San Francisco Giants win

49.4%

Fair line (home)

+103

Proj. total

7.55

Score distribution

How often each team scores each run total across all simulations.

Toronto Blue Jays (mean 3.88)San Francisco Giants (mean 3.67)

O/U line

7.5

Proj. total

7.55

Over

43.5%

Under

56.5%

Side	Model	Book	Fair
Toronto Blue Jays	50.6%	-112	-103
San Francisco Giants	49.4%	+104	+103

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
Ernie Clement	4.8	.960	.251	.023	.054	.225	.409	.283	.323	.384	.707
Nathan Lukes	4.7	.888	.239	.016	.049	.400	.626	.281	.350	.379	.730
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.	4.6	.824	.227	.004	.114	.591	.507	.296	.396	.443	.838
Kazuma Okamoto	4.5	.647	.185	.007	.113	.422	.913	.237	.320	.372	.691
Brandon Valenzuela	4.4	.614	.155	.006	.067	.396	.998	.214	.293	.307	.600
Daulton Varsho	4.3	.567	.174	.030	.094	.390	.906	.226	.306	.361	.666
Sean Keys	4.2	.529	.162	.008	.075	.463	1.053	.214	.318	.326	.645
Jonatan Clase	4.0	.572	.166	.015	.046	.363	1.038	.219	.298	.310	.608
Andrés Giménez	3.9	.674	.161	.015	.046	.240	.621	.250	.317	.342	.658

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
Heliot Ramos	4.6	.736	.178	.021	.101	.356	1.148	.249	.317	.375	.692
Luis Arraez	4.5	1.022	.189	.039	.030	.247	.215	.308	.352	.393	.745
Casey Schmitt	4.3	.662	.182	.015	.108	.270	.969	.241	.297	.374	.671
Rafael Devers	4.2	.546	.176	.009	.123	.503	1.165	.231	.329	.383	.712
Jung Hoo Lee	4.1	.784	.193	.045	.044	.308	.483	.281	.341	.390	.731
Willy Adames	4.0	.524	.156	.015	.104	.432	1.052	.223	.311	.362	.674
Bryce Eldridge	3.9	.543	.166	.005	.095	.388	1.189	.231	.313	.363	.676
Victor Bericoto	3.8	.609	.135	.017	.064	.243	.933	.233	.285	.335	.620
Drew Cavanaugh	3.7	.499	.145	.005	.058	.375	1.095	.218	.311	.320	.630

Data notes: 20/20 lineup+starter talents from projections