Toronto Blue Jays vs San Francisco Giants — Prediction & Odds

July 8, 2026 · Dylan Cease vs Logan Webb · 59°F

1.2% edge · Toronto Blue Jays

Toronto Blue Jays win

53.8%

San Francisco Giants win

46.2%

Fair line (home)

+117

Proj. total

7.15

Score distribution

How often each team scores each run total across all simulations.

Toronto Blue Jays (mean 3.82)San Francisco Giants (mean 3.33)

O/U line

Proj. total

7.15

Over

38.3%

Under

49.6%

Side	Model	Book	Fair
Toronto Blue Jays	53.8%	-116	-117
San Francisco Giants	46.2%	+107	+117

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
Ernie Clement	4.8	.953	.254	.022	.053	.181	.449	.281	.312	.381	.693
Nathan Lukes	4.7	.897	.234	.019	.046	.334	.703	.279	.337	.375	.712
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.	4.5	.833	.217	.005	.111	.489	.572	.290	.372	.429	.801
George Springer	4.5	.700	.184	.009	.091	.411	.840	.246	.322	.364	.686
Daulton Varsho	4.3	.585	.180	.032	.092	.331	1.011	.223	.289	.354	.643
Kazuma Okamoto	4.2	.628	.177	.007	.101	.329	.957	.236	.302	.364	.666
Alejandro Kirk	4.1	.755	.164	.007	.068	.399	.515	.269	.346	.373	.719
Jonatan Clase	4.0	.564	.164	.013	.043	.298	1.104	.213	.277	.300	.577
Andrés Giménez	3.9	.666	.169	.016	.049	.186	.658	.248	.298	.343	.641

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
Heliot Ramos	4.5	.662	.164	.017	.104	.367	1.348	.231	.302	.356	.658
Luis Arraez	4.4	.973	.186	.040	.031	.265	.281	.300	.347	.387	.734
Casey Schmitt	4.3	.612	.160	.013	.106	.282	1.133	.225	.284	.352	.636
Rafael Devers	4.2	.489	.160	.010	.118	.524	1.299	.214	.318	.361	.679
Jung Hoo Lee	4.1	.734	.183	.042	.046	.326	.585	.269	.334	.377	.711
Willy Adames	4.0	.474	.149	.013	.103	.445	1.216	.210	.303	.348	.651
Bryce Eldridge	3.9	.489	.157	.004	.094	.396	1.327	.216	.302	.346	.647
Drew Gilbert	3.8	.498	.134	.025	.059	.321	.903	.212	.288	.319	.606
Eric Haase	3.6	.457	.105	.007	.074	.257	1.314	.193	.255	.295	.550

Data notes: 20/20 lineup+starter talents from projections