Colorado Rockies vs San Francisco Giants — Prediction & Odds

July 10, 2026 · Tanner Gordon vs Robbie Ray · 61°F

1.6% edge · San Francisco Giants

Colorado Rockies win

40.6%

San Francisco Giants win

59.4%

Fair line (home)

-146

Proj. total

8.97

Score distribution

How often each team scores each run total across all simulations.

Colorado Rockies (mean 4.17)San Francisco Giants (mean 4.81)

O/U line

Proj. total

8.97

Over

44.5%

Under

48.2%

Side	Model	Book	Fair
Colorado Rockies	40.6%	+132	+146
San Francisco Giants	59.4%	-144	-146

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
Jake McCarthy	4.8	.832	.175	.076	.082	.374	.822	.266	.333	.398	.731
Kyle Karros	4.7	.741	.222	.025	.087	.556	.996	.263	.357	.393	.750
Cole Carrigg	4.6	.762	.151	.047	.075	.348	.996	.247	.314	.360	.673
Hunter Goodman	4.5	.561	.185	.020	.189	.361	1.261	.235	.303	.429	.732
TJ Rumfield	4.4	.699	.186	.014	.095	.443	.775	.257	.342	.386	.728
Tyler Freeman	4.3	.778	.172	.023	.053	.342	.549	.271	.349	.370	.719
Willi Castro	4.2	.642	.157	.019	.070	.361	.992	.240	.324	.350	.674
Mickey Moniak	4.0	.574	.161	.049	.140	.250	.994	.245	.297	.425	.722
Ezequiel Tovar	3.9	.578	.183	.018	.088	.232	.969	.236	.285	.368	.653

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
Heliot Ramos	4.7	.859	.208	.032	.161	.310	.936	.293	.348	.468	.816
Luis Arraez	4.5	1.128	.225	.045	.044	.208	.144	.334	.369	.438	.807
Casey Schmitt	4.4	.801	.223	.014	.160	.204	.768	.287	.328	.461	.789
Rafael Devers	4.3	.649	.212	.010	.196	.442	.930	.277	.357	.490	.847
Willy Adames	4.2	.645	.196	.015	.169	.370	.885	.268	.337	.460	.797
Bryce Eldridge	4.1	.685	.199	.005	.148	.367	1.014	.279	.348	.454	.802
Jung Hoo Lee	4.0	.838	.215	.047	.066	.227	.334	.311	.355	.446	.801
Drew Gilbert	3.9	.631	.186	.027	.088	.297	.611	.263	.329	.405	.735
Drew Cavanaugh	3.8	.601	.170	.007	.076	.337	.951	.253	.332	.374	.706

Data notes: 20/20 lineup+starter talents from projections