Colorado Rockies vs San Francisco Giants — Prediction & Odds

July 12, 2026 · Michael Lorenzen vs Trevor McDonald · 67°F

0.9% edge · San Francisco Giants

Colorado Rockies win

41.2%

San Francisco Giants win

58.8%

Fair line (home)

-143

Proj. total

9.45

Score distribution

How often each team scores each run total across all simulations.

Colorado Rockies (mean 4.40)San Francisco Giants (mean 5.04)

O/U line

Proj. total

9.45

Over

41.9%

Under

47.0%

Side	Model	Book	Fair
Colorado Rockies	41.2%	+133	+143
San Francisco Giants	58.8%	-144	-143

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
Jake McCarthy	4.9	.918	.186	.077	.064	.343	.703	.281	.347	.402	.749
Mickey Moniak	4.8	.753	.209	.058	.140	.273	1.021	.262	.313	.430	.742
Hunter Goodman	4.6	.643	.213	.020	.160	.341	1.148	.245	.311	.418	.729
TJ Rumfield	4.5	.788	.200	.016	.081	.429	.689	.271	.353	.389	.743
Kyle Karros	4.4	.763	.211	.028	.066	.466	.831	.274	.361	.394	.755
Cole Carrigg	4.3	.746	.158	.069	.057	.320	.837	.262	.329	.381	.710
Troy Johnston	4.2	.753	.204	.018	.057	.330	.710	.272	.343	.380	.723
Tyler Freeman	4.1	.788	.169	.024	.037	.300	.454	.281	.363	.371	.734
Ezequiel Tovar	4.0	.648	.208	.020	.074	.215	.856	.254	.301	.380	.681

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
Heliot Ramos	4.7	.874	.214	.034	.170	.361	.949	.300	.361	.484	.845
Luis Arraez	4.6	1.166	.225	.052	.043	.238	.141	.342	.381	.448	.829
Casey Schmitt	4.5	.830	.215	.014	.147	.242	.781	.287	.334	.450	.784
Rafael Devers	4.4	.655	.218	.011	.188	.515	.932	.280	.371	.490	.861
Jung Hoo Lee	4.3	.904	.237	.050	.061	.283	.350	.315	.366	.447	.813
Bryce Eldridge	4.2	.694	.202	.006	.138	.410	1.016	.279	.355	.446	.802
Willy Adames	4.1	.608	.185	.013	.153	.429	.864	.265	.348	.450	.797
Drew Gilbert	4.0	.643	.184	.026	.087	.352	.608	.265	.341	.404	.745
Drew Cavanaugh	3.9	.617	.162	.006	.073	.387	.973	.253	.342	.369	.711

Data notes: 20/20 lineup+starter talents from projections