Milwaukee Brewers vs San Francisco Giants — Prediction & Odds

July 27, 2026 · Brandon Sproat vs Tyler Mahle · 64°F

5.0% edge · San Francisco Giants

Milwaukee Brewers win

51.0%

San Francisco Giants win

49.0%

Fair line (home)

+104

Proj. total

7.95

Score distribution

How often each team scores each run total across all simulations.

Milwaukee Brewers (mean 4.13)San Francisco Giants (mean 3.83)

O/U line

8.5

Proj. total

7.95

Over

40.9%

Under

59.1%

Side	Model	Book	Fair
Milwaukee Brewers	51.0%	-133	-104
San Francisco Giants	49.0%	+123	+104

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
Christian Yelich	4.8	.771	.170	.012	.114	.567	1.155	.252	.344	.378	.722
Jackson Chourio	4.7	.742	.216	.018	.149	.341	.953	.259	.316	.420	.736
Brice Turang	4.6	.744	.173	.023	.087	.508	.975	.251	.336	.369	.705
William Contreras	4.5	.760	.191	.005	.106	.524	.727	.269	.358	.400	.758
Jake Bauers	4.4	.544	.153	.012	.143	.592	1.186	.226	.335	.386	.721
Andrew Vaughn	4.3	.656	.180	.016	.101	.362	.764	.245	.315	.377	.692
Garrett Mitchell	4.2	.576	.165	.029	.089	.450	1.294	.232	.320	.364	.684
Cooper Pratt	4.1	.616	.124	.028	.048	.433	.742	.226	.314	.316	.630
Joey Ortiz	4.0	.622	.169	.013	.061	.341	.657	.241	.310	.346	.656

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
Luis Arraez	4.6	1.018	.200	.042	.037	.305	.209	.306	.358	.399	.757
Heliot Ramos	4.5	.679	.164	.025	.130	.398	1.114	.249	.327	.400	.726
Bryce Eldridge	4.4	.585	.176	.003	.126	.493	1.268	.232	.326	.379	.704
Rafael Devers	4.3	.525	.166	.006	.159	.578	1.093	.235	.346	.414	.760
Casey Schmitt	4.2	.630	.162	.013	.119	.264	.912	.241	.300	.383	.682
Drew Gilbert	4.0	.551	.154	.022	.074	.399	.771	.224	.313	.341	.654
Willy Adames	3.9	.468	.149	.011	.123	.456	1.018	.218	.315	.374	.689
Grant McCray	3.8	.487	.133	.024	.058	.369	1.157	.204	.287	.307	.594
Jesus Rodriguez	3.7	.644	.129	.012	.049	.357	.602	.252	.332	.343	.675

Data notes: 20/20 lineup+starter talents from projections