Milwaukee Brewers vs San Francisco Giants — Prediction & Odds

July 28, 2026 · Logan Henderson vs Landen Roupp · 65°F

4.3% edge · San Francisco Giants

Milwaukee Brewers win

53.6%

San Francisco Giants win

46.4%

Fair line (home)

+115

Proj. total

7.47

Score distribution

How often each team scores each run total across all simulations.

Milwaukee Brewers (mean 3.99)San Francisco Giants (mean 3.49)

O/U line

7.5

Proj. total

7.47

Over

44.3%

Under

55.8%

Side	Model	Book	Fair
Milwaukee Brewers	53.6%	-144	-115
San Francisco Giants	46.4%	+133	+115

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
Brice Turang	4.8	.762	.181	.024	.084	.592	1.096	.248	.342	.361	.704
Jackson Chourio	4.7	.741	.224	.016	.135	.390	1.033	.258	.323	.411	.734
William Contreras	4.6	.761	.187	.004	.098	.598	.795	.262	.362	.385	.747
Christian Yelich	4.5	.680	.146	.010	.092	.587	1.140	.237	.341	.351	.692
Andrew Vaughn	4.4	.670	.183	.017	.093	.420	.841	.243	.321	.368	.690
Luis Lara	4.3	.689	.141	.020	.037	.517	.866	.237	.336	.315	.651
Garrett Mitchell	4.2	.589	.164	.030	.077	.510	1.318	.235	.334	.360	.694
Cooper Pratt	4.1	.598	.127	.029	.044	.464	.780	.222	.318	.310	.628
David Hamilton	4.0	.536	.121	.026	.062	.409	1.001	.210	.295	.311	.606

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
Luis Arraez	4.5	.966	.189	.038	.044	.263	.233	.294	.340	.388	.728
Bryce Eldridge	4.4	.562	.167	.003	.140	.441	1.377	.223	.307	.374	.681
Heliot Ramos	4.3	.621	.151	.024	.140	.335	1.150	.240	.308	.399	.707
Rafael Devers	4.2	.484	.161	.007	.176	.491	1.189	.226	.323	.419	.742
Jung Hoo Lee	4.1	.714	.183	.041	.063	.277	.483	.265	.321	.386	.707
Willy Adames	4.0	.461	.139	.008	.137	.407	1.131	.210	.296	.370	.666
Grant McCray	3.9	.467	.137	.024	.074	.337	1.237	.200	.274	.315	.589
Drew Cavanaugh	3.8	.467	.121	.004	.067	.367	1.228	.198	.289	.298	.587
Christian Koss	3.6	.551	.145	.012	.059	.178	.878	.225	.273	.327	.599

Data notes: away starter Logan Henderson: only 46 BF vs RHB this season · 20/20 lineup+starter talents from projections