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1.7% edge · San Francisco GiantsDetroit Tigers vs San Francisco Giants — Prediction & Odds
August 7, 2026 · Keider Montero vs JT Brubaker · 60°F
Detroit Tigers win
54.5%
San Francisco Giants win
45.5%
Fair line (home)
+120
Proj. total
7.46
Score distribution
How often each team scores each run total across all simulations.
Detroit Tigers (mean 4.06)San Francisco Giants (mean 3.40)
Totals
O/U line
8.5
Proj. total
7.46
Over
36.4%
Under
63.6%
Model vs. market
| Side | Model | Book | Fair |
|---|---|---|---|
| Detroit Tigers | 54.5% | -134 | -120 |
| San Francisco Giants | 45.5% | +124 | +120 |
Detroit Tigers — projected lines
| Batter | PA | 1B | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | K | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin McGonigle | 4.8 | .794 | .214 | .035 | .071 | .641 | .597 | .268 | .370 | .387 | .757 |
| Gleyber Torres | 4.7 | .786 | .175 | .004 | .084 | .589 | .738 | .256 | .354 | .363 | .717 |
| Dillon Dingler | 4.6 | .690 | .198 | .020 | .122 | .335 | .957 | .244 | .310 | .388 | .697 |
| Riley Greene | 4.5 | .702 | .195 | .017 | .130 | .486 | 1.099 | .262 | .347 | .417 | .764 |
| Colt Keith | 4.4 | .728 | .169 | .025 | .090 | .405 | .782 | .256 | .330 | .379 | .709 |
| Spencer Torkelson | 4.3 | .496 | .179 | .005 | .115 | .498 | 1.128 | .213 | .314 | .355 | .670 |
| Max Clark | 4.2 | .651 | .152 | .029 | .044 | .449 | .740 | .237 | .325 | .329 | .654 |
| Javier Báez | 4.1 | .656 | .154 | .015 | .071 | .171 | .836 | .232 | .273 | .335 | .608 |
| Zach McKinstry | 3.9 | .575 | .136 | .052 | .053 | .388 | .732 | .232 | .315 | .346 | .661 |
San Francisco Giants — projected lines
| Batter | PA | 1B | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | K | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryce Eldridge | 4.5 | .663 | .189 | .005 | .124 | .415 | 1.215 | .243 | .319 | .385 | .704 |
| Jung Hoo Lee | 4.4 | .826 | .213 | .043 | .053 | .276 | .421 | .279 | .330 | .392 | .722 |
| Willy Adames | 4.3 | .554 | .179 | .012 | .135 | .403 | 1.024 | .229 | .306 | .387 | .693 |
| Rafael Devers | 4.2 | .551 | .186 | .005 | .151 | .461 | .993 | .243 | .332 | .419 | .751 |
| Daniel Susac | 4.1 | .678 | .152 | .019 | .066 | .210 | .992 | .239 | .287 | .341 | .628 |
| Drew Gilbert | 4.0 | .573 | .161 | .024 | .077 | .322 | .698 | .232 | .305 | .354 | .659 |
| Osleivis Basabe | 3.9 | .630 | .172 | .012 | .037 | .208 | .615 | .236 | .284 | .321 | .605 |
| Grant McCray | 3.7 | .502 | .142 | .023 | .059 | .286 | 1.039 | .213 | .278 | .320 | .597 |
| Christian Koss | 3.6 | .583 | .156 | .011 | .047 | .158 | .747 | .235 | .278 | .328 | .606 |
Data notes: 20/20 lineup+starter talents from projections