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Detroit Tigers vs San Francisco Giants — Prediction & Odds

August 7, 2026 · Keider Montero vs JT Brubaker · 60°F
1.7% edge · San Francisco Giants
Detroit Tigers win
54.5%
San Francisco Giants win
45.5%
Fair line (home)
+120
Proj. total
7.46

Score distribution

How often each team scores each run total across all simulations.

0%8%17%036912151821Runs scored
Detroit Tigers (mean 4.06)San Francisco Giants (mean 3.40)

Totals

O/U line
8.5
Proj. total
7.46
Over
36.4%
Under
63.6%

Model vs. market

SideModelBookFair
Detroit Tigers54.5%-134-120
San Francisco Giants45.5%+124+120

Detroit Tigers — projected lines

BatterPA1B2B3BHRBBKAVGOBPSLGOPS
Kevin McGonigle4.8.794.214.035.071.641.597.268.370.387.757
Gleyber Torres4.7.786.175.004.084.589.738.256.354.363.717
Dillon Dingler4.6.690.198.020.122.335.957.244.310.388.697
Riley Greene4.5.702.195.017.130.4861.099.262.347.417.764
Colt Keith4.4.728.169.025.090.405.782.256.330.379.709
Spencer Torkelson4.3.496.179.005.115.4981.128.213.314.355.670
Max Clark4.2.651.152.029.044.449.740.237.325.329.654
Javier Báez4.1.656.154.015.071.171.836.232.273.335.608
Zach McKinstry3.9.575.136.052.053.388.732.232.315.346.661

San Francisco Giants — projected lines

BatterPA1B2B3BHRBBKAVGOBPSLGOPS
Bryce Eldridge4.5.663.189.005.124.4151.215.243.319.385.704
Jung Hoo Lee4.4.826.213.043.053.276.421.279.330.392.722
Willy Adames4.3.554.179.012.135.4031.024.229.306.387.693
Rafael Devers4.2.551.186.005.151.461.993.243.332.419.751
Daniel Susac4.1.678.152.019.066.210.992.239.287.341.628
Drew Gilbert4.0.573.161.024.077.322.698.232.305.354.659
Osleivis Basabe3.9.630.172.012.037.208.615.236.284.321.605
Grant McCray3.7.502.142.023.059.2861.039.213.278.320.597
Christian Koss3.6.583.156.011.047.158.747.235.278.328.606
Data notes: 20/20 lineup+starter talents from projections