Detroit Tigers vs San Francisco Giants — Prediction & Odds

August 9, 2026 · Troy Melton vs Logan Webb · 62°F

0.8% edge · Detroit Tigers

Detroit Tigers win

54.1%

San Francisco Giants win

45.9%

Fair line (home)

+118

Proj. total

7.2

Score distribution

How often each team scores each run total across all simulations.

Detroit Tigers (mean 3.89)San Francisco Giants (mean 3.31)

O/U line

7.5

Proj. total

7.2

Over

41.1%

Under

58.9%

Side	Model	Book	Fair
Detroit Tigers	54.1%	-119	-118
San Francisco Giants	45.9%	+110	+118

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
Kevin McGonigle	4.8	.850	.230	.035	.060	.518	.613	.277	.360	.391	.751
Gleyber Torres	4.7	.813	.186	.005	.076	.495	.761	.260	.343	.362	.705
Dillon Dingler	4.6	.731	.215	.023	.101	.259	.989	.251	.302	.384	.686
Riley Greene	4.5	.739	.211	.019	.111	.386	1.145	.267	.335	.411	.746
Colt Keith	4.3	.769	.181	.033	.078	.320	.795	.265	.324	.385	.710
Spencer Torkelson	4.3	.530	.182	.007	.100	.423	1.154	.216	.301	.347	.648
Max Clark	4.1	.705	.154	.029	.038	.359	.763	.247	.317	.333	.650
Eduardo Valencia	4.0	.618	.150	.012	.074	.259	.913	.229	.285	.335	.620
Zach McKinstry	3.9	.598	.137	.049	.047	.311	.746	.234	.301	.340	.640

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
Bryce Eldridge	4.5	.641	.191	.005	.119	.417	1.261	.238	.314	.376	.690
Jung Hoo Lee	4.4	.806	.217	.046	.056	.279	.462	.278	.330	.396	.726
Willy Adames	4.3	.563	.160	.012	.128	.398	1.069	.225	.302	.373	.675
Rafael Devers	4.2	.527	.177	.008	.156	.432	1.074	.235	.320	.413	.733
Osleivis Basabe	4.1	.666	.181	.013	.045	.209	.676	.237	.282	.327	.609
Drew Gilbert	4.0	.575	.160	.026	.075	.311	.740	.232	.301	.353	.654
Daniel Susac	3.8	.620	.144	.020	.066	.205	.953	.237	.286	.343	.628
Grant McCray	3.7	.496	.139	.023	.057	.282	1.095	.210	.274	.314	.588
Christian Koss	3.6	.585	.149	.012	.050	.154	.773	.235	.276	.330	.606

Data notes: 20/20 lineup+starter talents from projections