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2.1% edge · Detroit TigersDetroit Tigers vs San Francisco Giants — Prediction & Odds
August 8, 2026 · Jackson Jobe vs Landen Roupp · 61°F
Detroit Tigers win
54.5%
San Francisco Giants win
45.5%
Fair line (home)
+120
Proj. total
7.4
Score distribution
How often each team scores each run total across all simulations.
Detroit Tigers (mean 3.99)San Francisco Giants (mean 3.42)
Totals
O/U line
8
Proj. total
7.4
Over
35.2%
Under
57.4%
Model vs. market
| Side | Model | Book | Fair |
|---|---|---|---|
| Detroit Tigers | 54.5% | -115 | -120 |
| San Francisco Giants | 45.5% | +106 | +120 |
Detroit Tigers — projected lines
| Batter | PA | 1B | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | K | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin McGonigle | 4.8 | .780 | .212 | .035 | .069 | .669 | .666 | .265 | .372 | .383 | .755 |
| Gleyber Torres | 4.7 | .777 | .177 | .004 | .078 | .637 | .796 | .255 | .360 | .359 | .719 |
| Dillon Dingler | 4.6 | .694 | .201 | .020 | .111 | .348 | 1.058 | .243 | .309 | .380 | .689 |
| Riley Greene | 4.5 | .673 | .195 | .016 | .126 | .507 | 1.208 | .254 | .342 | .406 | .748 |
| Colt Keith | 4.4 | .724 | .172 | .030 | .077 | .424 | .832 | .254 | .331 | .372 | .702 |
| Spencer Torkelson | 4.3 | .485 | .165 | .006 | .115 | .545 | 1.193 | .208 | .316 | .348 | .664 |
| Max Clark | 4.2 | .652 | .149 | .027 | .044 | .477 | .803 | .236 | .328 | .327 | .655 |
| Javier Báez | 4.1 | .654 | .155 | .014 | .066 | .173 | .922 | .230 | .271 | .328 | .600 |
| Zach McKinstry | 4.0 | .557 | .126 | .052 | .047 | .399 | .796 | .222 | .307 | .328 | .635 |
San Francisco Giants — projected lines
| Batter | PA | 1B | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | K | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryce Eldridge | 4.5 | .612 | .178 | .005 | .123 | .479 | 1.291 | .229 | .316 | .368 | .684 |
| Jung Hoo Lee | 4.4 | .799 | .214 | .042 | .060 | .319 | .440 | .275 | .333 | .393 | .727 |
| Willy Adames | 4.3 | .538 | .163 | .011 | .128 | .468 | 1.088 | .221 | .311 | .370 | .681 |
| Rafael Devers | 4.2 | .525 | .180 | .007 | .141 | .520 | 1.045 | .234 | .336 | .404 | .740 |
| Osleivis Basabe | 4.1 | .657 | .181 | .012 | .042 | .253 | .683 | .234 | .288 | .320 | .609 |
| Drew Gilbert | 4.0 | .551 | .154 | .022 | .071 | .366 | .746 | .223 | .305 | .338 | .644 |
| Eddys Leonard | 3.9 | .542 | .141 | .020 | .090 | .250 | .910 | .221 | .281 | .347 | .628 |
| Drew Cavanaugh | 3.8 | .494 | .135 | .006 | .054 | .385 | 1.102 | .208 | .302 | .301 | .603 |
| Christian Koss | 3.6 | .598 | .163 | .010 | .044 | .184 | .780 | .239 | .288 | .332 | .620 |
Data notes: away starter Jackson Jobe: only 0 BF vs LHB this season · away starter Jackson Jobe: only 0 BF vs RHB this season · 20/20 lineup+starter talents from projections