Colorado Rockies vs San Francisco Giants — Prediction & Odds

August 15, 2026 · Michael Lorenzen vs Logan Webb · 59°F

0.8% edge · Colorado Rockies

Colorado Rockies win

40.3%

San Francisco Giants win

59.7%

Fair line (home)

-148

Proj. total

8.22

Score distribution

How often each team scores each run total across all simulations.

Colorado Rockies (mean 3.75)San Francisco Giants (mean 4.47)

O/U line

7.5

Proj. total

8.22

Over

51.5%

Under

48.5%

Side	Model	Book	Fair
Colorado Rockies	40.3%	+148	+148
San Francisco Giants	59.7%	-161	-148

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
Jake McCarthy	4.7	.892	.187	.072	.063	.259	.757	.276	.324	.394	.719
Cole Carrigg	4.6	.809	.180	.082	.053	.282	.947	.263	.315	.381	.695
TJ Rumfield	4.5	.801	.215	.018	.073	.344	.744	.270	.334	.385	.719
Hunter Goodman	4.4	.614	.203	.019	.136	.264	1.192	.237	.289	.396	.686
Mickey Moniak	4.3	.673	.183	.053	.116	.192	1.001	.253	.292	.410	.702
Willi Castro	4.2	.714	.172	.024	.051	.281	.959	.252	.316	.349	.665
Zac Veen	4.1	.680	.189	.036	.070	.258	.884	.258	.309	.382	.691
Connor Norby	4.0	.610	.177	.007	.058	.282	1.070	.235	.298	.336	.634
Ezequiel Tovar	3.8	.624	.195	.018	.070	.172	.873	.249	.287	.370	.656

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
Drew Gilbert	4.7	.757	.221	.033	.104	.417	.722	.266	.343	.410	.753
Rafael Devers	4.6	.669	.231	.010	.185	.543	.969	.275	.368	.478	.845
Bryce Eldridge	4.5	.705	.225	.005	.141	.457	1.105	.272	.353	.438	.791
Jung Hoo Lee	4.3	.904	.234	.047	.065	.290	.360	.312	.364	.442	.807
Osleivis Basabe	4.2	.791	.216	.014	.054	.251	.604	.273	.322	.376	.698
Drew Cavanaugh	4.1	.658	.176	.007	.075	.411	1.042	.252	.340	.366	.706
Turner Hill	4.0	.741	.183	.035	.035	.381	.474	.277	.353	.376	.729
Buddy Kennedy	3.9	.644	.182	.012	.071	.406	.688	.263	.351	.385	.736
Christian Koss	3.8	.718	.194	.013	.060	.191	.691	.277	.323	.390	.713

Data notes: 20/20 lineup+starter talents from projections